TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5feb…693a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST3863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$224.43
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$453.1
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$85.39
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$39.96
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+39.5%+$65.1
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.6
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$104
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$48
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$110.5
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Thunder vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27.9
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+50.4%+$197.77
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$94.5
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+45.6%+$70.05
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+32.6%+$61.5
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$237.15
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$306
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Lightningbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+277.7%+$173
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,685Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$655.24
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$25.9
Flames vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
All 6 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.99
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$157.8
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$44.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$140
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Open: Arianne Hartono vs Joanna Garlandbacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
Jiangxi Open: Yue Yuan vs Elena Pridankinabacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$281.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$374.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.