TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Grizzlies, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,500,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,589,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,500,126 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed Grizzlies7c166,104$10,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,940.6119249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies19c66,902$12,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,672.392,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3db…0b3cbacked Grizzlies17c64,333$11,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,179.881936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies30c61,335$18,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,332.44,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies19c60,559$11,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,723.252,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies34c50,065$17,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,113.7226038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Cavaliers52c39,276$20,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,853.358744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies29c33,608$9,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,640.335,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies17c30,122$5,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,194.0881529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Cavaliers67c28,941$19,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,550.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Cavaliers72c25,092$18,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,056.1848448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Grizzlies20c23,128$4,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,579.2120253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Grizzlies18c22,367$4,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,026.0611558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24e8…3811backed Cavaliers70c21,074$14,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,278.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68f1…1914backed Cavaliers74c20,121$14,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,332.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Grizzlies1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…bb34backed Cavaliers79c18,509$14,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,889.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Cavaliers74c17,279$12,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,575.2719388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies30c17,133$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,220.241,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies17c16,700$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8392,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Cavaliers80c15,177$12,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.415443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb1…37d4backed Grizzlies17c15,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Cavaliers74c12,179$9,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.376665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies35c11,373$4,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,022.6848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grizzlies31c10,225$3,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,196.2248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies39c9,346$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,604.631,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies27c9,083$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.611,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies36c8,882$3,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.81,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Cavaliers78c8,500$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies35c8,200$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.5385344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed Grizzlies20c8,000$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6262263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies17c7,704$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.62,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies34c7,606$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.022,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Cavaliers66c6,936$4,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.2347751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies18c6,670$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.052,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Cavaliers71c6,150$4,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.529458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies34c6,078$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.123,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers69c5,887$4,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Cavaliers75c5,500$4,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Grizzlies20c5,405$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.2146928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Grizzlies17c5,070$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.9861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Grizzlies17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.978827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies17c4,782$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.9295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers80c4,519$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.4244459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222c…4ab2backed Cavaliers67c4,473$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.22544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Grizzlies19c4,443$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5824330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…a3b1backed Grizzlies60c4,381$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.363357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Grizzlies19c4,300$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81711242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies10c4,190$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.471,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies18c4,137$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.581,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Cavaliers70c4,000$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Grizzlies17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbb…ac38backed Cavaliers47c3,446$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.68650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Cavaliers66c3,300$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12216446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies1c3,279$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.791,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24f…593dbacked Cavaliers58c3,098$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.381631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers50c3,095$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.51,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Cavaliers57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies16c2,866$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5261835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies31c2,727$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.585,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Grizzlies17c2,600$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.9916730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies33c2,586$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.761,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers66c2,516$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.4780146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Cavaliers80c2,514$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.657050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Cavaliers77c2,430$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.59050%45 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies1c2,355$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.858820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Cavaliers76c2,116$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.148351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x392b…29d5backed Grizzlies51c2,095$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Grizzlies17c2,056$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Grizzlies1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Grizzlies18c2,000$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.175347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…48d7backed Grizzlies18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.964165.9%27 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Grizzlies28c1,984$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.57259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Grizzlies20c1,917$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.5448944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Grizzlies19c1,895$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606826.5%18 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf67c…2f87backed Grizzlies33c1,726$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+77%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Grizzlies22c1,696$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1124634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Grizzlies18c1,670$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.674040%16 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Grizzlies34c1,626$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.024656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Grizzlies30c1,603$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.034050%20 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c6…0c3bbacked Cavaliers59c1,567$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e3…81f7backed Grizzlies46c1,506$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.744847.9%23 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf922…e9c7backed Grizzlies42c1,500$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.372030%6 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Grizzlies53c1,498$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80016848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers67c1,490$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5566744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Grizzlies52c1,461$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.7685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Cavaliers77c1,438$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3418452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers65c1,416$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Grizzlies17c1,398$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6215945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Cavaliers67c1,388$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies39c1,349$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.953,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Grizzlies21c1,336$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.325146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies17c1,278$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.262,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Grizzlies17c1,200$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.431,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Grizzlies19c1,132$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21565339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Cavaliers71c1,100$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Grizzlies16c1,077$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5312938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Grizzlies38c1,062$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8259743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Grizzlies16c1,027$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.791,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Cavaliers66c1,022$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.134757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.