Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Arianne Hartono vs Joanna Garland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c0ad181dff257b3be6bb659a64fa3ff9ea2368cf2334c3e57e7370a1c22c0e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Garlandof Hartono, Garland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Hartono | 27c | 5,633$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.68 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Garland | 76c | 2,291$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.91 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Garland | 68c | 1,741$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Hartono | 43c | 1,670$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.57 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Garland | 59c | 1,455$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.92 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Hartono | 13c | 1,217$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Hartono | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Garland | 64c | 986.95$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Garland | 68c | 606.84$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.91 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Garland | 60c | 575$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Hartono | 37c | 338.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…d5acbacked Hartono | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Hartono | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Hartono | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Hartono | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hartono | 30c | 155.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Garland | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Hartono | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Hartono | 12c | 99.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Garland | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Garland | 63c | 62.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5feb…693abacked Garland | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hartono | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Garland | 66c | 33.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Hartono | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…fab2backed Garland | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Hartono | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Garland | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Garland | 68c | 23.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Garland | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Garland | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…d896backed Garland | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.