Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab11c63e981826523a6c9043d23fceeeac581b651395e8c10a2d659f63ae47e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 44c | 6,800$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 5,403$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.2 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 45c | 4,693$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,975$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 2,641$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.14 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 14c | 1,600$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.19 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 30c | 1,194$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…b1c0backed Yes | 46c | 1,058$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 2c | 972.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 537.86$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 46c | 494.61$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5feb…693abacked Yes | 77c | 486.42$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 463$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 46c | 450$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Yes | 44c | 260.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 47c | 213.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 44c | 202.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 13c | 188$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 7c | 184$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 56c | 163.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…51e4backed Yes | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 42c | 106.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 45c | 97.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 31c | 91.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…8bafbacked No | 58c | 86.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 73c | 75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed No | 22c | 67.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 67.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 62.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 56c | 49.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…a73fbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997e…2d1cbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 24.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bc…d5f1backed Yes | 46c | 22.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 58c | 20.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.