TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x997e…2d1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.31
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$11.63
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Panama vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.9
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada recession in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.