TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$713,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$660,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c164,916$14,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,363.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes8c52,305$4,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.992,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes8c24,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02030214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes8c20,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes10c17,844$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.1812325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc098…cd90backed Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006219.4%12 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd8c…b750backed Yes8c12,162$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.958010%8 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes8c8,666$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes9c8,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72025038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes8c7,776$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.072,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…e52dbacked Yes15c7,364$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.171931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…437dbacked Yes8c7,340$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.2380%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes7c6,561$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.2420724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008827.3%24 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010918.3%20 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes11c4,590$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.632,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Yes8c4,032$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.564829.2%14 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d35…a787backed Yes20c3,889$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed Yes8c3,558$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014244.4%63 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34e7…0558backed Yes8c3,540$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes14c3,463$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.8827811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889d…e705backed Yes8c3,268$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.415820.7%12 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes22c3,168$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70018343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Yes8c3,125$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250466.5%3 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes8c3,125$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240545.6%3 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes16c2,987$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.174,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes9c2,600$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4918637.6%70 W · 116 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1506…3ae5backed Yes20c2,555$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002825%7 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Yes20c2,509$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbea5…5f1abacked Yes8c2,411$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes13c2,275$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes12c2,189$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1578317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3848…9db2backed Yes8c2,064$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.919933.3%33 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes19c2,046$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7144524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes8c2,017$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.422,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes12c1,941$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes8c1,563$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12522824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee33…7676backed Yes8c1,406$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes7c1,400$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9917414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007626.3%20 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc08a…92a4backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009420.2%19 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557a…3d56backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100756.7%5 W · 70 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007627.6%21 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df3…aaffbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f46…ca8bbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004621.7%10 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c0…901dbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes9c1,172$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.374854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes8c1,125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904122%9 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa827…fc96backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011226.8%30 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9922914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes9c1,094$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes9c1,087$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.97018.6%13 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc886…87c2backed Yes9c1,073$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd475…825dbacked Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004314%6 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes13c1,035$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6819026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes8c1,029$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.318614.5%27 W · 159 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Yes8c1,028$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.273221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…dd2bbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d7…d298backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid+51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes10c974.23$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0627034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes11c940.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006630.3%20 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes8c937.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes11c921.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053928.2%11 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x044f…0ad2backed Yes11c882.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+127.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c813.24$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.061,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Yes19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…513ebacked Yes13c777.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006023.3%14 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe197…2ce7backed Yes13c754.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x008a…8451backed Yes8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bf4…7c4fbacked Yes12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-75.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1c…ec6dbacked Yes8c739.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.15110%0 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc05a…532bbacked Yes8c737.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5913424.6%33 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0715…85e6backed Yes9c735.67$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.21224.5%1 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea13…7bc1backed Yes13c733.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb05e…b962backed Yes21c714.96$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.581127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes9c700$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba35…d691backed Yes8c687.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+105.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28d0…b619backed Yes8c682.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Yes9c666.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes18c657.08$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.271,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Yes14c646$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.917732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883d…d2e8backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508711.5%10 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf76c…9738backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505633.9%19 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011823.7%28 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…ccf0backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503560%21 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb768…935cbacked Yes8c607.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes8c605.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.426830.9%21 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7477…e718backed Yes8c594.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.68431%26 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.