Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 DR Congo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2665eabb1cfde97b1db043e007b68b4d72e0a97a432474c6b2b9963f605dcf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4ee…4ea9backed Yes | 3c | 29,551$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +490%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 20,045$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 3c | 3,422$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 3c | 3,316$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,231$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 9c | 2,809$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,601$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 2,492$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 3c | 2,063$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…ae4ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,716$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…8cc2backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes | 7c | 1,447$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,430$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 3c | 1,167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 4c | 1,140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 9c | 1,095$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,047$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 3c | 900$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 738.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes | 9c | 700$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…ca8bbacked Yes | 8c | 657.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 8c | 652.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Yes | 3c | 641.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e866backed Yes | 8c | 613.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Yes | 9c | 574.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…ce56backed Yes | 9c | 539.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce63…57f5backed Yes | 6c | 535.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…b40ebacked Yes | 3c | 511.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 2c | 499.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Yes | 8c | 499.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…8c02backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9392…a5fcbacked Yes | 9c | 380.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…e4e1backed Yes | 4c | 376.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 3c | 367.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…2d93backed Yes | 6c | 362.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…e30fbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…e0e9backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…909ebacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…0322backed Yes | 9c | 317.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…adb2backed Yes | 6c | 272.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Yes | 9c | 249.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…c16cbacked Yes | 5c | 245.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…d5a7backed Yes | 9c | 232.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…65debacked Yes | 9c | 232.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 9c | 194.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…0a03backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…e098backed Yes | 9c | 133.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 DR Congo?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 DR Congo?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.