Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 DR Congo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f089da86f133ff823e6d2becb3210d8f0d3c06811113288cb486ae720bc9cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc098…cd90backed Yes | 2c | 40,081$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 16,496$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 2c | 9,415$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.32 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 7,177$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.21 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 2c | 5,155$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 2c | 4,891$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…8819backed Yes | 2c | 4,290$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…81a7backed Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…f1bdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…d97abacked Yes | 5c | 2,912$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes | 4c | 2,427$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…7a53backed Yes | 2c | 2,273$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…85e6backed Yes | 2c | 2,240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 2c | 2,105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…3977backed Yes | 2c | 2,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e705backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…aaffbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc268…db27backed Yes | 2c | 1,992$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…aaffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,720$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,346$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 5c | 1,282$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,273$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d204backed Yes | 2c | 1,002$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Yes | 6c | 937.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…2ce7backed Yes | 6c | 935$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 873.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed Yes | 6c | 847.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 2c | 838.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9871…3096backed Yes | 2c | 777.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…a412backed Yes | 3c | 736.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4b…03b1backed Yes | 3c | 713$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…0396backed Yes | 2c | 680$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…0994backed Yes | 2c | 652.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…2222backed Yes | 2c | 612.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…b40ebacked Yes | 2c | 607.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 6c | 522.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 7c | 515.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…f45abacked Yes | 6c | 495$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Yes | 6c | 469.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…cb5fbacked Yes | 3c | 440$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…e8e3backed Yes | 2c | 418.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…fb40backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…72a8backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…50dfbacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…65debacked Yes | 7c | 303.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 7c | 292.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 4c | 289.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…1de2backed Yes | 6c | 267.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…0242backed Yes | 6c | 215.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 DR Congo?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 DR Congo?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.