Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c89563e39f6474c98565c8125a4429d33935c76ab3375c9fd7472f769e21279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 9,920$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 1c | 5,995$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,995$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,358$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08af…bb75backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…916fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…d2b6backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,444$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…f45abacked Yes | 1c | 1,399$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c1…b2bebacked Yes | 6c | 983.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f8ccbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…a4c4backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…48a6backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 29.7%71 W · 168 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb962…45febacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c58…6460backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…35e1backed Yes | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 5c | 637.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c7ebacked Yes | 6c | 566.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 5c | 555.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…6ad3backed Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…a989backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5c23backed Yes | 6c | 404.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…bf95backed Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 6c | 346.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157f…25c1backed Yes | 6c | 339.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…1fd9backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…79debacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…da9abacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…65debacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…6135backed Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 164 | 28.7%47 W · 117 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…066bbacked Yes | 6c | 238.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…be44backed Yes | 6c | 228$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…ebb8backed Yes | 7c | 216$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…b8c1backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…89c9backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…c712backed Yes | 6c | 182.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 174.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 DR Congo?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 DR Congo?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.