Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c6c83c752ef613a1225d0864a2905444a5bf3e1274393023a9191c365586988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 7,402$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.9 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 73c | 5,687$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.49 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 3,411$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.21 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.97 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…d563backed No | 73c | 2,800$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…b868backed Yes | 27c | 2,799$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 2,746$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.55 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 24c | 2,564$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked Yes | 20c | 2,494$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 35c | 2,277$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 16c | 2,243$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.41 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 73c | 2,150$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…9727backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,682$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.71 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 64c | 1,600$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.99 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,404$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Yes | 37c | 1,399$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,324$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.4 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed No | 72c | 1,121$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda8f…1d91backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 73c | 1,033$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.78 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 28c | 971.43$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 73c | 878$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.06 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8b…f6ccbacked Yes | 18c | 799.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Yes | 27c | 766.8$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 699.88$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.95 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 683.23$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 79c | 636.95$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.9 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 39c | 600$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes | 26c | 585.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 535$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -91%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 503.62$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.79 | 362 | 60.2%218 W · 144 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 500.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 71c | 410$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…b29dbacked Yes | 27c | 399.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 27c | 373.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 28c | 357.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…9b56backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 20c | 355$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +158%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…07a9backed Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…37dabacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…2e8cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Yes | 41c | 242.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 5c | 222.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 73c | 202.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…7567backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…fba0backed Yes | 27c | 183.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356d…0eccbacked Yes | 28c | 176.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 20c | 174.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63c…afbcbacked Yes | 19c | 163.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 33c | 150.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…d5f0backed No | 75c | 146.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…0e11backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…bc8cbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed No | 73c | 131$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 74c | 115.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 60 | 76.7%46 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…edbfbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…7b1fbacked Yes | 27c | 110.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 109.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 22c | 108.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 31c | 107.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fa…7631backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…540abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…4841backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 63c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.