Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x881ff9b92b7d9b4506307c1fcb49c9caba79d806fcbeb16a6796d455532380d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $648,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $639,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 804 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 91,905$69,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,588.28 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 26c | 72,054$18,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,733.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 74c | 71,402$52,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,503.96 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 73c | 63,009$45,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,326.23 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 13c | 60,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 54,667$41,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,220.69 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 28,851$8,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,256.3 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 15,037$11,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.62 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…4504backed Yes | 27c | 13,239$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…4021backed Yes | 29c | 12,975$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Yes | 27c | 12,796$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 74c | 12,700$9,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 12,453$9,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.65 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 27c | 11,100$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 72c | 11,000$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 74c | 10,889$8,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Yes | 27c | 9,877$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.94 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 28c | 9,653$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.18 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed No | 71c | 9,302$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 8,071$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.12 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 28c | 7,955$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.08 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 74c | 7,215$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.79 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 28c | 7,116$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 29c | 6,942$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 73c | 6,929$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.72 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 27c | 6,400$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.98 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 29c | 6,101$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 29c | 5,764$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 5,445$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.72 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 5,100$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…2eaabacked Yes | 29c | 4,758$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 74c | 4,730$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.73 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 26c | 4,632$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.32 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 17c | 4,495$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.72 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 30c | 4,321$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…7f2dbacked Yes | 29c | 4,314$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 28c | 4,179$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed No | 70c | 4,107$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 28c | 4,039$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 72c | 4,002$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.56 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5223…a975backed Yes | 28c | 3,577$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…476cbacked Yes | 29c | 3,561$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 25c | 3,431$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 3,319$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.7 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…7afbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,227$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked No | 75c | 3,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 73c | 2,778$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.11 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…b5a8backed Yes | 27c | 2,660$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0202…e262backed Yes | 16c | 2,640$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 30c | 2,618$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed No | 70c | 2,600$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…a9acbacked Yes | 8c | 2,570$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 2,557$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.14 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 21c | 2,162$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.92 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 71c | 2,034$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.86 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 26c | 2,010$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8b…f6ccbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…2dadbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 70c | 1,983$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked Yes | 26c | 1,936$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 27c | 1,900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…660dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,894$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…9727backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…4aafbacked Yes | 28c | 1,790$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 74c | 1,760$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 29c | 1,717$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.96 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…e722backed Yes | 28c | 1,700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 7c | 1,698$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 5c | 1,664$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…9b56backed Yes | 26c | 1,624$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 27c | 1,610$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.61 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 69c | 1,604$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.09 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…4c39backed Yes | 27c | 1,561$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…3b85backed No | 71c | 1,488$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…134ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,478$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 73c | 1,437$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.44 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…85febacked Yes | 26c | 1,427$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 73c | 1,425$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 71c | 1,413$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.92 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…68edbacked No | 74c | 1,401$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.