Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1477c0025ea1b7e73b0f0e9f19ae8d256a7309bdc5d4a614fb31fbc84b99e2b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $867,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 57c | 80,000$45,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,599.87 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.99 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed No | 54c | 46,400$25,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,155.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 45c | 44,348$19,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,391.48 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 48c | 38,988$18,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,425.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 32,086$15,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,627.62 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,899.87 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed No | 54c | 24,735$13,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,304.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed No | 58c | 24,544$14,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,234.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 52c | 23,800$12,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,376 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 20,077$8,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,285.92 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 52c | 13,585$7,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,063.96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 43c | 13,281$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,567.92 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…9e65backed Yes | 47c | 11,876$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,305.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 53c | 11,311$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 44c | 11,110$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.33 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 42c | 10,885$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.61 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 55c | 10,285$5,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,656.75 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 54c | 10,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.95 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked No | 53c | 9,932$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd860…aa2cbacked Yes | 48c | 9,354$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 8,450$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.5 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 7,588$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952.67 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Yes | 47c | 7,572$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Yes | 48c | 7,484$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 42c | 7,217$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,157.17 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 44c | 6,999$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 44c | 6,539$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 16c | 6,503$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.94 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 45c | 6,477$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…0938backed Yes | 48c | 6,229$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked No | 55c | 5,957$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 48c | 5,905$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.74 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed No | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.2 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 53c | 5,148$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…02d2backed Yes | 38c | 4,938$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 22c | 4,500$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 4,449$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.4 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 46c | 4,346$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Yes | 43c | 4,244$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 43c | 4,023$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.19 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 38c | 3,700$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 74c | 3,322$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.36 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed No | 49c | 3,199$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed No | 43c | 3,019$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 65c | 3,000$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,906$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.17 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 2,657$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.21 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 43c | 2,625$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c07…34a4backed Yes | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 61c | 2,423$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.7 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 55c | 2,338$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.1 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…0f89backed No | 57c | 2,204$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 2,110$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.97 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 63c | 2,056$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.96 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…1f0ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,978$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 52c | 1,963$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.73 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…52c8backed No | 54c | 1,890$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927d…f9fbbacked No | 2c | 1,886$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 1,805$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.3 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 47c | 1,791$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,681$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 46c | 1,648$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.9 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 52c | 1,635$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed No | 53c | 1,613$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Yes | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 47c | 1,542$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.67 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 34c | 1,520$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 19c | 1,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Yes | 48c | 1,431$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…4b76backed No | 52c | 1,380$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 1,375$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.75 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 1,363$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.7 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…4aafbacked No | 53c | 1,240$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 51c | 1,235$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.57 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 27c | 1,224$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.67 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…a3ccbacked Yes | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 56c | 1,124$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.24 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Yes | 37c | 1,100$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…5354backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…c5c0backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.