Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8156ddc457b3c9b5089a4040647214f2b4c1e9ab64e27572952662bc9586ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 25,511$18,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,072.81 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 20,575$7,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,059.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 15,275$7,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,237.95 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 77c | 10,648$8,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,237.27 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 30c | 8,891$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,251.33 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 6,900$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,313 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 49c | 6,795$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.23 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.96 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 24c | 4,079$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.2 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,900$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.39 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 73c | 3,200$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 2,822$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.49 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Yes | 62c | 2,600$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 78c | 2,222$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 43c | 2,200$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…eab7backed No | 77c | 2,161$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 4c | 1,881$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 76c | 1,635$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.61 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 1,443$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 36c | 1,374$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.3 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 22c | 1,345$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.45 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 24c | 1,104$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.17 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 1,045$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.56 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 51c | 1,034$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 77c | 998.57$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.9 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 22c | 896.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.3 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 870.92$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.18 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 22c | 794$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.32 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…c963backed Yes | 22c | 727.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 37c | 699.98$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…c421backed Yes | 50c | 695.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed No | 77c | 687.03$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.01 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Yes | 62c | 645.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 27c | 592.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 582$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.13 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked No | 77c | 554.83$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 23c | 440.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.52 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 36c | 433.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 45c | 415.23$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 33c | 414.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…37e2backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 24c | 372.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.85 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 37c | 369.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 20c | 364.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 39c | 357.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddc2…f6b1backed Yes | 32c | 356.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 78c | 350.23$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.43 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 68c | 293.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…d268backed Yes | 22c | 292.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 80c | 292$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes | 72c | 277.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 30c | 272.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 23c | 271.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 21c | 270.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.55 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…6e0dbacked Yes | 23c | 269.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 79c | 264.77$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 65c | 254.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed Yes | 63c | 240.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…6c98backed No | 77c | 239.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 23c | 209.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.53 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 7c | 205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…3175backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +100%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…10e8backed Yes | 21c | 197.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 23c | 193.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 189.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecd…1898backed No | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 35c | 161.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…e8d1backed Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…b686backed Yes | 75c | 139.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 22c | 138.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…b888backed Yes | 36c | 133.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 50c | 126.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…e8e9backed Yes | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 51c | 124.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…b3f4backed No | 76c | 110$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Yes | 68c | 104.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 59c | 101.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…57fdbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…4766backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc419…5bb5backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.