TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes24c4,736$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.6413939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c3,954$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.236,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes23c3,904$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.924146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No76c3,847$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.1956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed Yes24c3,488$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes24c2,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52822125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes24c1,972$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.1646651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes15c1,763$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9711443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes23c1,752$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.0710626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes24c1,566$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.851315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes23c1,536$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.8317833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes23c1,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9511846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Yes15c1,292$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002850%14 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb518…ec0bbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c899$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.041,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51b…779dbacked Yes16c881.39$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes25c798.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No76c694.92$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes24c636.75$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8227454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No80c614.13$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8313832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes24c613.46$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.233231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No76c566.14$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.879246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d9…1f75backed Yes15c516.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes16c462.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4825530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No78c459.27$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8340150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes23c444$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1212324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked No76c434.57$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.32552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Yes24c416.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Yes24c404.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes16c387.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c308$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7218551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes14c256.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9517635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes23c254$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes18c249.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5932222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes24c245.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5936036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No74c200.81$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6128736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4830050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No76c199.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4815350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No76c199.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811952.9%63 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No75c167.25$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.811,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes20c166.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes20c163$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5e0…b240backed No74c160$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.66100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes13c159.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No76c149.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4287…666ebacked Yes23c139.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d14…261dbacked No77c138.23$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.791942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Yes24c133.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8718562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked No76c129.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246850%34 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No77c93.51$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.517972.2%57 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes24c91.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ced…e074backed No77c84.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.425100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed No76c81.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.682040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…eb4bbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.492630.8%8 W · 18 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-51.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes23c65.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.119230.4%28 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x518e…4522backed Yes16c62.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa458…7141backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No76c62.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Yes24c61.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08c…8398backed Yes24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fe…dbf8backed No77c57.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.311136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997e…2d1cbacked Yes26c57.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x905d…ada9backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No78c52.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.513372.7%24 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes21c52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7535661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ac…ab83backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f2…546cbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65eb…5918backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Yes27c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.252835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes23c49.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.412647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes24c47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fb…7c39backed No78c41.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.022475%18 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcad…0d7cbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No76c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.422961.6%141 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6987…6956backed No76c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44461.4%27 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc52…fcc3backed No77c31.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1710100%10 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9930…2afcbacked No76c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+41.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x019c…e2c2backed No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick75cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.