Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19146148be996a4cec1da2955c233f2751726d9c9dc46f495583c82c64a70fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,543,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,565,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,543,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 867 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 64c | 313,902$202,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,661.49 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 36c | 125,998$45,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,359.27 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 38c | 100,608$38,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,231.18 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 79,854$50,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,402.75 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 62c | 70,000$43,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,350 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 61,891$20,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,003.75 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 56,726$35,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,728.39 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 37c | 47,946$17,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,819.54 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 19c | 47,337$8,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,920.18 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 38c | 45,707$17,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,254.45 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked No | 38c | 37,861$14,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,387.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 37c | 37,838$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.94 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 38c | 35,000$13,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,300 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 39c | 34,205$13,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,339.82 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 36c | 31,891$11,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,537.52 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 37c | 31,600$11,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,692 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 62c | 28,067$17,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,665.43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked No | 37c | 26,460$9,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,790.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 38c | 25,173$9,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,565.71 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 37c | 25,000$9,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,359.91 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 37c | 24,000$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,879.97 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…eaa7backed No | 38c | 23,875$9,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,172.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed No | 37c | 21,587$7,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,959.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 20,031$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 26c | 20,019$5,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,203.91 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 62c | 15,945$9,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.75 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 37c | 12,800$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,736 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 38c | 12,733$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.35 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 63c | 11,062$6,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.9 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 14c | 10,926$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.66 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 20c | 10,719$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.83 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 10,537$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.73 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 62c | 9,677$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.42 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 8,372$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.66 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 38c | 8,137$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.2 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 38c | 8,120$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.6 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…68ffbacked No | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 17c | 6,500$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 63c | 6,349$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.96 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 63c | 6,311$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.68 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 5c | 5,732$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Yes | 62c | 5,631$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 37c | 5,590$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.13 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 37c | 5,400$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.38 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 65c | 5,203$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.69 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.93 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.91 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 27c | 4,852$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.09 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 4,801$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.42 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 37c | 4,757$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.26 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.53 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 37c | 4,492$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 39c | 4,042$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.78 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 62c | 3,900$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 27c | 3,896$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 37c | 3,654$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 37c | 3,600$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked No | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 4c | 2,968$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 63c | 2,808$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 2,629$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.03 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 62c | 2,613$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.99 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…1931backed No | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 39c | 2,485$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…430cbacked Yes | 63c | 2,410$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 38c | 2,405$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.47 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 37c | 2,248$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.66 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 38c | 2,213$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.94 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 64c | 2,188$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 40c | 2,140$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.46 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 62c | 2,081$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.72 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked No | 40c | 2,068$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.09 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 62c | 2,048$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.68 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 37c | 1,628$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.65 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 39c | 1,524$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.35 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 62c | 1,516$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.92 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 38c | 1,513$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.