UFC · resolved market
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc3ba434a04f9b1342878b1b369d2082e8d3592cc638f88244e7967c1e0cca26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cortes-Acostaof Lewis, Cortes-Acosta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,191,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,225,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,191,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 634 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Lewis | 26c | 259,373$67,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,359.47 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lewis | 25c | 227,112$57,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,075.12 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 219,810$161,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,893.99 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 108,749$81,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,387.34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 94,022$70,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,505.53 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 92,248$68,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,096.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Lewis | 25c | 79,984$19,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,996.09 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lewis | 26c | 77,311$19,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,930.79 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 76,324$57,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,081.02 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Cortes-Acosta | 73c | 52,983$38,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,068.07 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lewis | 26c | 50,000$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,949.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 44,935$33,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,233.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Lewis | 25c | 36,450$9,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,112.55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Lewis | 25c | 35,220$8,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,649.52 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 31,171$23,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,792.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Lewis | 27c | 28,800$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,776 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 26,101$19,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,822.33 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lewis | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 19,999$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.86 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 19,333$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 16,155$12,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.53 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 13,539$10,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.19 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 12,100$9,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 11,748$8,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 11,550$8,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lewis | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lewis | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Lewis | 30c | 9,995$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.13 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Cortes-Acosta | 73c | 9,550$6,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.67 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Lewis | 39c | 9,391$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lewis | 27c | 9,358$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.64 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…b8b6backed Lewis | 25c | 8,340$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 8,110$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 8,081$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Lewis | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Lewis | 26c | 7,692$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Cortes-Acosta | 73c | 7,622$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Lewis | 27c | 7,506$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.53 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lewis | 31c | 7,448$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.81 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Lewis | 26c | 7,140$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Cortes-Acosta | 76c | 6,578$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.72 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…50eabacked Cortes-Acosta | 71c | 6,463$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Lewis | 26c | 6,197$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.25 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Cortes-Acosta | 68c | 5,062$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Cortes-Acosta | 60c | 4,964$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.1 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lewis | 28c | 4,773$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.35 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b29…9108backed Lewis | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lewis | 27c | 3,495$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.64 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 3,378$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lewis | 25c | 3,200$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Lewis | 25c | 3,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Lewis | 27c | 2,963$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cortes-Acosta | 63c | 2,689$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.12 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…f0b6backed Lewis | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…a54dbacked Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 2,532$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Lewis | 27c | 2,407$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Lewis | 27c | 2,407$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 2,300$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Lewis | 25c | 2,101$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Lewis | 28c | 2,088$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.22 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Lewis | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked Lewis | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…e32cbacked Lewis | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Lewis | 26c | 1,988$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…2d63backed Lewis | 26c | 1,970$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…19c9backed Lewis | 27c | 1,947$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Lewis | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lewis | 25c | 1,908$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Cortes-Acosta | 69c | 1,884$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733a…8b85backed Lewis | 26c | 1,855$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 1,817$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Cortes-Acosta | 67c | 1,801$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.28 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…e5fdbacked Lewis | 26c | 1,799$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…3286backed Cortes-Acosta | 69c | 1,652$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Cortes-Acosta | 72c | 1,640$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Lewis | 23c | 1,640$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Cortes-Acosta | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Lewis | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…5307backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 1,560$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd75…02f9backed Lewis | 26c | 1,524$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Lewis | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 1,481$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.33 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Cortes-Acosta | 67c | 1,481$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Lewis | 25c | 1,466$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Lewis | 26c | 1,454$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 1,427$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…0f22backed Cortes-Acosta | 71c | 1,403$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.46 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Lewis | 26c | 1,386$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.39 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…7328backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 1,338$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cortes-Acosta | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 1,282$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.37 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…743bbacked Lewis | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cortes-Acosta | 70c | 1,113$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.35 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cortes-Acosta | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Cortes-Acosta | 74c | 1,044$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.34 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Derrick Lewis win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Waldo Cortes-Acosta win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.