Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ce32c7242810f09868c02f46683918ef3182dc5b75ddadecfa6f3c5f556207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $918,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,016,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $918,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 844 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 113,837$52,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,681.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 69c | 62,075$42,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,600.03 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 64c | 58,294$37,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,210.19 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 32c | 31,214$9,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,284.68 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Yes | 68c | 29,345$19,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,992 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 32c | 27,429$8,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,651.38 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 31c | 27,296$8,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,798.6 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 51c | 23,734$11,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,746.76 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 37c | 23,056$8,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,622.42 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 56c | 22,356$12,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,427.33 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 22,120$16,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,254.93 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996.66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 32c | 19,247$6,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,051.27 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 58c | 16,934$9,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,112.1 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 72c | 16,890$12,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.74 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 42c | 16,650$7,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,603.65 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 51c | 16,500$8,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,415 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…66b9backed Yes | 44c | 15,923$6,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,954.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 29c | 14,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,939.94 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 28c | 13,682$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.96 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 67c | 11,891$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,997.76 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 68c | 11,509$7,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,826.23 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 31c | 11,367$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,881.18 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 70c | 11,359$7,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,921.54 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 39c | 11,200$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,883.94 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 71c | 10,792$7,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,617.45 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 33c | 10,436$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.07 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked Yes | 61c | 10,201$6,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,257.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 32c | 10,084$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,857 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.95 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 33c | 9,925$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.58 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 31c | 8,800$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.88 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 66c | 8,192$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,439.95 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 8,077$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.63 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,439.84 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 32c | 7,845$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,323.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 67c | 7,500$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 32c | 7,014$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740.7 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 32c | 6,576$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 69c | 6,548$4,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 68c | 6,165$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.35 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 29c | 5,477$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.31 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 69c | 5,200$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.88 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 46c | 4,753$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.59 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…ce86backed Yes | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 32c | 4,461$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.93 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 68c | 4,415$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 67c | 4,075$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1808…fb72backed Yes | 70c | 4,000$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606b…b93ebacked No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 50c | 3,984$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.93 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…198cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,873$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 30c | 3,551$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +63%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02ab…2e2dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,500$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +97%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.91 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 32c | 3,324$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.61 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.09 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 68c | 3,013$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 30c | 2,957$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.74 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Yes | 69c | 2,900$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 2,823$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.47 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 68c | 2,809$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.09 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 61c | 2,793$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…65edbacked No | 70c | 2,727$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 48c | 2,700$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 68c | 2,667$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.68 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde03…e629backed Yes | 51c | 2,550$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 17c | 2,520$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked No | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.97 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 29c | 2,271$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.1 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,223$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 29c | 2,215$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.65 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,168$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.69 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 72c | 2,161$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.81 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 68c | 2,115$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.06 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,032$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.47 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 33c | 2,016$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.97 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed No | 32c | 1,999$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 71c | 1,829$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.32 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 58c | 1,700$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 67c | 1,654$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.61 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437e…3013backed Yes | 61c | 1,642$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 1,600$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.16 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 71c | 1,579$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed No | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fa…9dffbacked Yes | 51c | 1,510$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 67c | 1,497$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fa61backed Yes | 67c | 1,485$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 30c | 1,481$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.69 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.