Premier League · resolved market
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf147fd3731755174f057611aaf6d51be2e74137193612a932e36ebd107c43f4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 19c | 46,683$8,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,930.06 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 20,320$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,412.69 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 20c | 11,134$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,902.76 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 8c | 10,920$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.62 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 20c | 10,524$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,472 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 19c | 7,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075 | 201 | 57.2%115 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 19c | 4,926$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.37 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 3,542$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.59 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 19c | 3,447$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.07 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,502$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.38 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,162$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.08 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 502 | 49.8%250 W · 252 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 40c | 1,604$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.82 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 47c | 1,599$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.04 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.95 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 17c | 1,460$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.15 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.98 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…3c52backed Yes | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…da84backed Yes | 30c | 1,077$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,074$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.09 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b92…0c9fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 883$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.23 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…0e11backed Yes | 21c | 666.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…b589backed Yes | 18c | 654.38$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +451.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 22c | 636.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce89…5c69backed Yes | 51c | 585.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 22c | 424.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.09 | 330 | 36.1%119 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 392.41$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.81 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Yes | 22c | 386.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.36 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 13c | 361$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.2 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 34c | 360.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.79 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 352.23$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.64 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ab…2e2dbacked Yes | 13c | 351.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +97%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 41c | 350$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.94 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…9569backed Yes | 24c | 338.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 22c | 326.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.69 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 27c | 304.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 21c | 292.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 79c | 289.87$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 35c | 287.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 21c | 250$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 55c | 240.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 36c | 235.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 44c | 233.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 20c | 225$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…f846backed Yes | 20c | 225$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 222$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 690 | 42.2%291 W · 399 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…b9c9backed Yes | 20c | 217.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…87babacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 23c | 199.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…857fbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…973cbacked Yes | 39c | 158.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…9b90backed Yes | 20c | 150.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 246 | 48.8%120 W · 126 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…2d56backed Yes | 22c | 140.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…285ebacked Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Yes | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…127dbacked Yes | 20c | 135$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e6…e1b9backed Yes | 20c | 125.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…c326backed Yes | 19c | 115.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fa…d69bbacked No | 80c | 111.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…eb6abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5e…b6dfbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 325 | 22.8%74 W · 251 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Yes | 19c | 99.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…0e11backed Yes | 20c | 98.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 94.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 543 | 28.2%153 W · 390 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…cfbbbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 367 | 62.9%231 W · 136 L | +32.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.