TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$352,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes11c11,524$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.199263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes8c9,909$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.664,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes40c8,582$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.773647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No60c8,501$5,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.3724846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Yes12c8,350$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes12c8,046$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes11c7,747$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8589636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No75c6,343$4,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.259450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes33c6,060$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.796435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes11c6,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes37c5,711$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.9317745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes11c4,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9818433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes11c4,327$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.8631655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes27c4,121$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.7251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed No66c3,937$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.045151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes24c3,852$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.493256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed No63c3,813$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c3,769$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.586,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes10c3,690$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No67c3,582$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.097759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes10c2,640$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.121,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes11c2,535$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8527235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes12c2,231$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4120039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes9c2,191$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a4…d4d7backed Yes11c2,150$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcce…099fbacked Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfb…2398backed Yes10c2,009$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.382334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes11c2,004$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8926229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Yes11c2,000$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.011323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes38c1,920$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.729253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes11c1,800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed No62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.93844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ec…65a0backed Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes4c1,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c9…dfeabacked Yes39c1,245$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.997240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes12c1,092$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+69.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes40c1,091$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.83933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+102.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e54…5fdfbacked Yes12c1,084$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes11c1,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10529427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No64c999.99$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3606048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes10c999.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead8…517abacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86e…4a33backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f7…3561backed Yes12c897$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes15c851.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c72…8b8bbacked Yes21c850$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.51060%6 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3123360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2219…a5e9backed Yes11c710.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.16812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d1…0c60backed No69c680.13$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.93580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb1…276cbacked No64c666$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d08…763ebacked Yes11c653$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8390%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes12c652$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2436845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Yes11c638.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.212433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes15c583.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5141437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes38c543.26$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.443537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes12c513$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.563033.3%10 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19520040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-50.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No61c492.58$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.982259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes6c460$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.219128.8%55 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab49…a28ebacked Yes11c450$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes13c418$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.821233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ab…1152backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-84.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes39c410.55$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16218562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c407.43$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.051,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes11c399.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.924617.4%8 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes29c376.62$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103540%14 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60a4…1d88backed Yes12c367.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes11c366.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.220425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Yes4c342.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9815345.8%70 W · 83 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52bf…97a2backed No61c328$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c320$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.222834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333129%9 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes11c288.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.682321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Yes35c287.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3864…857fbacked Yes34c279.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.041650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes10c279.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9118958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes17c278.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2325949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1091…a259backed Yes12c260$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.350%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3e…1726backed Yes40c255.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x186b…641cbacked Yes11c253.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb379…517bbacked Yes12c241.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Yes12c231.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.832222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes12c230$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.613760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes39c212.82$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837429.7%22 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed Yes24c210.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.013141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc238…7945backed Yes12c208.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f98…8db1backed Yes10c205$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2232822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.