TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,627,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,450,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,627,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,011 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7515…b648backed Yes0c693,692$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No68c651,005$442,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208,740.354658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65b5…e82fbacked Yes32c624,999$199,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199,522.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fc…694dbacked Yes0c545,697$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes41c337,931$139,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,276.312142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c288,025$210,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,506.761,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc5…afc9backed Yes2c205,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+151.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d81…3222backed Yes0c202,541$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes54c200,000$108,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,790.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa90f…0efcbacked Yes0c186,254$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes0c177,098$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2091435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed No49c150,239$74,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,947.691471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No64c136,673$87,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,638.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9033…da56backed Yes0c134,119$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No63c130,213$81,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,760.621070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6682…e547backed Yes0c124,955$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb59b…03d3backed Yes0c115,285$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Yes0c115,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes0c108,185$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8e…d8fcbacked Yes1c102,005$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e8…6fe7backed Yes0c100,301$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa19…2145backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ae…48fdbacked Yes0c98,425$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed No45c97,843$44,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,552.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e02…2d15backed Yes0c96,540$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes11c92,168$9,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,941.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed No49c90,852$44,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,718.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…6ff7backed Yes32c90,498$29,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,294.48333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa40…526dbacked Yes0c84,558$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd46…6956backed Yes0c84,000$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7da…0c37backed Yes0c82,520$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b52…76e0backed Yes0c72,919$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No58c67,880$39,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,765.546741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d1e…b15dbacked Yes0c66,254$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c65,536$43,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,380.041,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bf…08a7backed Yes0c65,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No68c63,000$42,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,139.881838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes30c59,037$17,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,711.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd6…7607backed Yes0c58,500$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x809e…89d7backed Yes0c57,578$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes16c56,784$9,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,092.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No45c52,787$23,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,105.168155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7af7…4c89backed Yes31c52,145$16,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,165.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x375a…80a3backed Yes0c51,340$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No48c50,649$24,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,124.4472335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x687e…540ebacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1db…dd3bbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4c…d514backed Yes0c47,360$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeda…7be9backed Yes0c46,980$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2f…b03ebacked Yes1c46,301$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes54c46,184$25,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,003.93871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6246…e185backed Yes0c44,530$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8091…6bf6backed Yes1c43,690$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No48c42,772$20,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,071.3217048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x124c…7f95backed Yes33c42,596$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec5…1398backed Yes33c40,834$13,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,475.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a93…6c32backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0881…d118backed Yes0c39,830$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d7e…794fbacked Yes0c37,268$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No69c36,300$25,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,252.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No67c35,500$23,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,714.895446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No69c35,371$24,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,965.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes24c35,000$8,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,439.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes62c34,230$21,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,138.292955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7636…e1b0backed Yes0c33,585$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b52…9208backed Yes0c32,698$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No67c30,500$20,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,064.916541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c6…ba58backed Yes33c30,303$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No44c30,239$13,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,9506450%32 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x678a…e620backed Yes0c28,920$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes36c26,989$9,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,667.788853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked No70c26,424$18,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,916.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No67c26,025$17,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,588.13988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+46.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x53a4…fb4cbacked Yes1c25,986$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad5…c7bebacked Yes0c25,939$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d46…6d95backed Yes0c25,515$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes54c25,225$13,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,621.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes0c25,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9b…03edbacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c24,830$17,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,808.6363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c85…e424backed Yes0c24,185$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes31c23,983$7,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,434.681136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9972…5df3backed Yes0c23,600$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes32c23,021$7,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,413.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…2934backed Yes0c22,684$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No69c22,555$15,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,062.026952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d3e…82a1backed Yes0c22,515$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5b…d1f0backed Yes0c22,205$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No69c22,142$15,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,762.79858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f2…3badbacked Yes0c20,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd578…4d58backed Yes0c20,394$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No68c20,294$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,494.127549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aef…ee3abacked Yes0c20,150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x405d…5603backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f9f…cfbebacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf1…8958backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa0…f18bbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9db…f098backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f4…3695backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.