TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,041,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,664,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,041,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12d6…f2a8backed No0c552,942$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Yes26c283,568$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208,568.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes30c111,235$32,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,376.881643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aee…b327backed No71c100,000$71,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e0…82f9backed No0c99,107$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c65,459$33,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,713.921,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c63,999$43,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,567.351,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No71c38,099$27,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,050.191662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes29c37,945$11,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,859.2410536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No74c36,212$26,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,628.4572335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No70c36,119$25,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,283.087346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No35c35,039$12,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,403.1812348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Yes27c29,783$7,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,859.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes33c26,586$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,906.0620948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c26,137$18,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,295.8559741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No66c24,964$16,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,37746741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No71c21,804$15,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,481.021850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked Yes29c21,000$6,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,910666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f4…3695backed No0c20,812$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…cd36backed No0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked Yes29c19,825$5,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,075.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad0…53a7backed No0c19,520$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed Yes30c18,500$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,949.981643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…6ff7backed Yes27c18,490$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,490.08333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d5…6261backed No0c18,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec23…24fdbacked Yes65c17,777$11,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,295.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No70c17,264$12,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,084.644658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes29c17,000$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0701258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No68c16,713$11,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,334.3144033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Yes27c15,555$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,355.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530a…e41dbacked Yes33c15,218$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,218.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb473…97d3backed No0c15,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No70c14,999$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.553063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes29c11,758$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,348.477145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b5a…2bb7backed No0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed No0c10,007$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f0…15e1backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe86c…739bbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.7414953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked No71c9,343$6,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,633.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes29c9,081$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,447.299858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes25c9,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,749.991625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes49c8,101$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,146.396221%13 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No73c8,068$5,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,915.344555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes29c8,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6805446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Yes30c8,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,600250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes39c7,998$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,905.371136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes26c7,692$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,692.311258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked No4c7,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb12…4333backed No0c7,490$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes26c7,003$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,182.173231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No71c6,404$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,552.792650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes28c6,142$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.99749.5%48 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No66c6,001$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.3732843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes43c5,481$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.834346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No65c5,394$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.154540%18 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes29c5,350$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,798.678040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No71c5,025$3,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+44.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c5,003$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.3488631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Yes29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5501457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes50c4,970$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.111040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed No0c4,497$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.022035%7 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No46c4,412$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.661546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb751…8d99backed Yes30c4,118$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked No1c4,071$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.741435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No2c4,045$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6527236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…5e13backed Yes25c3,988$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes64c3,897$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes26c3,800$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8128232.9%27 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No71c3,748$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.082532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Yes27c3,748$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+93%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Yes30c3,720$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+304.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x987c…cd13backed No71c3,625$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes33c3,556$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.742650%13 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39b0…07d1backed Yes29c3,531$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+14.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Yes30c3,400$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No71c3,342$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.656142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Yes30c3,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ca…219bbacked Yes30c3,269$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.07633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Yes69c3,200$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c3,188$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.5363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes44c3,127$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.081070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+71.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No71c3,115$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.82955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No45c3,085$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.3923031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Yes52c3,062$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes26c3,000$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.331428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.9829136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No62c2,889$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.254934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8acf…22e4backed No71c2,817$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes30c2,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes26c2,594$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.482934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Yes79c2,581$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No17c2,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Yes30c2,496$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+158.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1739…5fe6backed Yes30c2,487$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No71c2,400$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7041546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.