Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1525f6e38aad87d60dca762113a3bc8bd48baa8563aca8489b12c79330d77a92

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,827,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,246,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,827,342 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	4,396,973$189,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189,582.7	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes	25c	1,059,496$264,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264,874.07	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	73c	701,126$514,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186,165.01	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No	76c	639,632$483,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155,927.09	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes	46c	630,410$291,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291,389.48	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	41c	517,593$210,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306,894.71	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes	23c	255,770$58,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,827.05	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97a9…4a31backed Yes	37c	183,000$68,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,409.58	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+5.5wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	5c	175,204$9,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,247.38	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5b…2ed4backed Yes	25c	175,000$44,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,385.03	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	74c	143,114$105,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,329.19	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…3046backed Yes	23c	127,547$29,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,335.83	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No	65c	124,696$81,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,567.78	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes	1c	121,414$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.49	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…82bbbacked Yes	0c	117,000$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	67c	108,418$73,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,282.85	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3f…1136backed Yes	23c	102,391$23,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,550	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b75…a9cfbacked Yes	25c	101,667$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc38…e82bbacked Yes	0c	101,000$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…f52cbacked Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35b3…3dc7backed Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	7cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…cce9backed Yes	0c	98,570$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.57	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60fe…8733backed Yes	0c	98,304$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.58	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	38c	90,321$34,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,367.1	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	23c	75,677$17,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,124.76	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d283backed Yes	0c	75,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No	7c	70,201$4,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,354.22	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes	24c	68,857$16,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,354.45	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	51c	64,551$33,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,347.25	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No	13c	64,290$8,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,808.11	208	39.4%82 W · 126 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+33%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	26c	61,402$16,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,105.98	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	32c	60,633$19,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,465.41	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6c22backed Yes	0c	60,050$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed No	75c	59,660$44,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,914.91	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	15c	55,882$8,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,490.11	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes	59c	53,656$31,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,589.82	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	48c	50,216$23,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,939.35	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x647e…2efbbacked Yes	0c	50,120$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd477…96b5backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	16cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4c…a70abacked Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Yes	0c	46,873$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.43	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes	26c	45,000$11,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,549.99	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes	25c	44,740$11,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,179.11	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a25…08cdbacked Yes	1c	44,538$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8628…aba2backed Yes	1c	44,198$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.39	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes	0c	43,101$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.97	454	24.7%112 W · 342 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes	15c	40,187$5,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,852.49	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	17c	40,141$6,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,483.65	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No	52c	40,000$20,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,199.8	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes	23c	34,475$7,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,929.28	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes	1c	33,303$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.33	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes	2c	32,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	34c	31,080$10,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,425.89	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	24c	30,375$7,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,420	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes	26c	30,149$7,839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,838.65	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes	26c	30,077$7,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,820	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes	25c	30,000$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed Yes	26c	30,000$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,799.99	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No	57c	29,449$16,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,733.9	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	8c	29,134$2,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310.23	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed No	52c	29,000$15,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,920	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No	11c	28,841$3,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,803.1	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes	43c	28,482$12,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,351.47	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No	50c	27,995$14,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,895.09	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Yes	23c	26,769$6,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,156.82	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	25c	25,989$6,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,445.3	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16a…3fdbbacked Yes	0c	25,368$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Yes	25c	25,000$6,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,250.1	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Yes	24c	25,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	203	33.5%68 W · 135 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x329f…81b4backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No	14c	24,638$3,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,134.11	197	38.1%75 W · 122 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb89c…b71dbacked Yes	23c	21,739$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	19	84.2%16 W · 3 L	+5.1wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	5c	21,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Yes	46c	21,000$9,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,660	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82cf…0998backed No	50c	20,650$10,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,324.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab00…3c39backed Yes	0c	20,095$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.74	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d0…defdbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe041…be79backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0de5…c4f5backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	27cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed Yes	14c	19,990$2,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,767.4	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes	25c	19,798$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	49c	19,541$9,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,540.94	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No	36c	19,535$6,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,568.75	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	26c	19,231$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x471d…2fa7backed Yes	26c	18,722$4,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,867.72	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Yes	11c	18,182$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No	8c	17,789$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,390.11	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	10c	17,740$1,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,007.69	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Yes	39c	17,604$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,900	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No	13c	17,400$2,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,138	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	61c	17,070$10,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,685	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Yes	24c	17,008$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked No	29c	16,799$4,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,991.52	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked No	62c	16,686$10,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,336.03	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes	44c	15,889$6,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,947.95	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes	25c	15,837$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed Yes	26c	15,769$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No	6c	15,202$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,289.85	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	8c	15,142$1,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,282.21	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?this page
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event