TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,079,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,601,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,079,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,881 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No65c915,077$596,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596,700.174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c298,836$143,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,856.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes28c156,872$43,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,948.1215552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No70c130,997$91,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,698.0729952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes29c124,444$36,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,266.3642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes32c105,000$33,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,250.1617842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c76,793$25,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,948.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes39c72,880$28,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,193.7924441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed No71c71,203$50,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,844.0117452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes30c66,260$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,259.68452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes29c59,393$17,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,168.7433538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes13c49,854$6,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,226.8836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes11c45,455$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,454.555728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No57c42,596$24,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,235.1413037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No71c42,507$29,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,987.394858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes29c35,000$10,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,85014553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No70c34,187$23,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,883.2310740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed No70c34,000$23,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,799.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…d2b1backed Yes78c31,988$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,988.411060%6 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes5c29,359$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,858.919929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes21c28,190$5,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,211.054619.6%9 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed No73c28,106$20,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,5421770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes61c26,144$16,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,131.4210057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c25,736$11,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,311.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c24,819$6,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,864.7479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No29c23,908$6,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,883.8345039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes30c22,573$6,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,704.415930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Yes27c18,500$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,504.982842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked No71c17,804$12,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,641475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No63c16,883$10,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,598.5621738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes62c16,605$10,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,277.4331945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed Yes30c16,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,2005343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Yes77c15,932$12,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,662.0336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes63c15,459$9,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.4133337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes29c15,430$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,003.9664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes13c15,385$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,384.624425%11 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes30c15,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5007153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes5c15,000$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,204.5313811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes28c13,271$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,489.6256022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes14c12,585$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,779.8315040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7789…a280backed Yes80c11,787$9,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.861681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick73cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes70c11,399$7,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,470.9724443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes62c11,390$7,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,288.3942043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes30c10,215$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,150.1519332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed No0c10,012$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.447226.4%19 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes28c10,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,1509839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.917859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked No70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.8313959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cc…be4ebacked No71c9,900$7,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0291464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes32c9,696$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,585.6429916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No70c9,404$6,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,583.097458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes9c9,401$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,514.4932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Yes29c9,318$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,615.8733549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes29c8,888$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,343.8132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes20c8,839$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,065.013,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c8,733$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,240.043,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes30c8,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,833.3314829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes30c8,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,833.3315930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed No71c8,129$5,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,771.616152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Yes30c8,073$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.567751.9%40 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No78c7,807$6,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,065.384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes29c7,586$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,386.9931232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes6c7,275$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,867.691468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes7c7,080$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,616.9734122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…5de7backed Yes80c6,998$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.312552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes28c6,977$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00126534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes30c6,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.6711343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes3c6,625$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,449.0438819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No22c6,555$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.0929333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Yes23c6,265$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,824.2211559.1%68 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c6,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32031945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Yes31c6,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,17010752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No68c6,000$4,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,109.8618438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.7948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.7850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes30c5,667$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,966.6712035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes14c5,616$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.845232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes30c5,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8507163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Yes30c5,374$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.184027.5%11 W · 29 L-7.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c5,305$3,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8023,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…94a1backed Yes30c5,292$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.522433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes20c5,267$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.1484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb187…0ab8backed Yes30c5,183$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.337940.5%32 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4629…edd8backed Yes79c5,033$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.171258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b39…930fbacked No0c5,017$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No73c5,004$3,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,663.9615746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5506749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.8547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes21c4,854$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,834.4645528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes28c4,736$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.8412334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d07…a067backed Yes30c4,667$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.678247.6%39 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c4,604$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.6193542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes30c4,600$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,21635036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e89…c03bbacked Yes65c4,512$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.312259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No70c4,400$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.8244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No71c4,275$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.262853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Yes29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8405939%23 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No70c4,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9711552.2%60 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.