TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,800,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,084,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,800,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,644 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b4…7320backed Yes48c15,696,150$7,552,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,552,448.871758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No78c3,954,059$3,089,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864,998.1574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x640d…9a4cbacked Yes51c3,189,338$1,626,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626,562.511729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No53c2,666,664$1,426,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240,276.4733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No52c2,209,350$1,142,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066,931.9615456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No52c1,088,588$569,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519,136.75942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No73c1,025,222$744,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,1189948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29ae…c79fbacked Yes0c1,010,164$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c972,845$100,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,314.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No52c867,672$449,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418,481.3114139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c835,665$522,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312,748.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes47c793,495$371,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,110.082,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No50c647,206$321,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325,308.6177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5d…e218backed Yes46c595,000$273,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273,7001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8628…aba2backed Yes0c521,128$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.541942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No51c490,000$249,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240,999.9922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No51c451,407$232,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219,153.256541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Yes48c428,149$205,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,511.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No52c410,000$213,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196,80010740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…a84bbacked Yes44c350,971$154,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154,427.062040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c328,101$179,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148,256.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No52c326,900$170,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156,111.97941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No54c321,520$173,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148,3887447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed No49c300,313$147,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,162.742646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No51c285,462$146,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139,245.0129740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No52c282,966$146,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,553.936048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No51c255,339$129,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,394.1111642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9673…5939backed Yes0c250,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked No50c250,000$125,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,2008063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No52c250,000$130,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,00022139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No55c249,998$137,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,698.967949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No73c247,925$182,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,835.0915844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No52c236,669$122,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,434.439247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No50c229,721$114,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,288.5810555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes5c227,976$10,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,946.4479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No52c220,000$113,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,6006546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No52c210,643$109,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,299.1920448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No50c209,866$105,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,375.3716244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No55c206,065$112,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,111.1629952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked No55c202,403$111,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,081.398932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b3…3dc7backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick7cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No49c196,078$96,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,999.7820955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No51c195,211$99,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,837.817447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed No52c188,888$98,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,666.2411647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1901…78f8backed Yes0c186,050$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a9…4a31backed Yes0c170,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704060%24 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No52c160,780$83,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,7519943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x647e…2efbbacked Yes0c160,080$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes7c154,888$11,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,388.429916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No52c154,000$80,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,92014349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4c…a70abacked Yes0c150,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa078…419abacked Yes12c147,345$18,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,401.352055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No75c141,218$105,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,944.478440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No61c141,010$85,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,193.2121444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No53c134,354$71,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,205.9442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes2c130,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No52c121,936$63,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,529.0918738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No52c117,163$61,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,149.526645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No51c117,004$59,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,206.058048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked No50c114,711$57,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,473.28856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Yes45c114,419$51,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,488.65959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed No53c113,926$59,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,963.149131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes1c112,903$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.5978835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Yes0c110,437$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607545.3%34 W · 41 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No52c107,000$55,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,36021343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No71c106,159$75,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,473.1832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44f…7842backed No49c105,066$51,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,583.87850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc38…e82bbacked Yes0c101,000$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x534c…8de9backed Yes0c100,435$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf7…897ebacked Yes0c100,090$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.85332.1%17 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ef…0a7cbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa638…3bcdbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed No51c95,290$48,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,605.2613448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ff…fa71backed Yes0c94,590$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No51c90,442$46,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,092.362941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…ad64backed Yes0c90,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ed…2574backed Yes0c89,920$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.925756.1%32 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes42c88,427$37,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,553.5642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e2…fecbbacked Yes0c86,214$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.952055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes6c84,859$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,83065835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee6…0ceabacked Yes0c83,920$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7e1…213ebacked Yes0c80,217$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No54c79,362$42,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,506.4413543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No51c77,156$39,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,454.8321333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Yes39c76,385$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c76,285$41,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,759.921,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed No54c76,000$41,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,8003458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed No50c75,000$37,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,5005749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d283backed Yes0c75,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No52c73,384$37,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,556.87156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed No49c71,280$34,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,352.83857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3331…8587backed Yes0c70,435$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed No51c68,500$34,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,5659846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No53c67,280$35,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,294.47740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed No54c66,666$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,666.363661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7095…7884backed No76c64,860$49,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,566.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No55c64,483$35,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,255.352,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No52c64,404$33,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,638.2816835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No52c63,236$32,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,354.348046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No51c62,190$31,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,473.066149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.