TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73ed…2574

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 32.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5756.1%32 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$67.02
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$53.83
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+74.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+27%+$79.41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.62
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.8%+$66.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25.1%+$25.12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+30.2%+$90.66
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.9%+$47.94
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+30.9%+$154.74
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+49.9%+$135.45
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+1,900%+$190
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+35%+$113.11
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+36.7%+$152.92
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1921.1%4 W · 15 L-7.2wins-0.38per pick59cpaid-71%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$99.54
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.1%+$60.21
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.2%+$25.23
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.9%+$115.49
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.5%+$25.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.1%+$58.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs 9z (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.8%+$35.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.