TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,449,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,493,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,449,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Wizards45c952,864$427,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427,193.4310049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pelicans55c500,000$275,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Pelicans55c198,719$109,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,423.3424650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards44c87,472$38,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,362.6451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans56c77,021$43,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,889.441,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Wizards44c71,818$31,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,481.689263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Pelicans56c68,182$38,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,000.088961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Wizards44c57,395$25,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,253.9813248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pelicans56c55,000$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,20040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Pelicans56c52,774$29,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,220.3917250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans55c46,650$25,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,902.842,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans56c44,438$24,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,772.8559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards44c39,059$17,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,232.462,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Pelicans56c35,556$19,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,644.6419150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Pelicans57c35,000$19,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0505253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Wizards39c31,878$12,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,538.895541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d86…e3d2backed Wizards44c30,959$13,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,64810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards45c29,533$13,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,181.92,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans56c25,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,999.941,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Pelicans56c24,750$13,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8907468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans63c24,066$15,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,013.952,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Pelicans55c20,525$11,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,236.126352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Wizards44c20,015$8,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,806.620551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pelicans56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Wizards47c19,935$9,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,321.483636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans63c18,642$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,941.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards43c18,605$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards26c18,331$4,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,737.041,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Wizards45c17,276$7,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,828.811,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans55c16,996$9,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,647.483,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pelicans56c16,370$9,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,204.7950653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Wizards44c16,000$6,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,986.6235235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards17c15,611$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.511,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Wizards44c15,540$6,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,837.5723245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Wizards44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.9718045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Pelicans62c14,000$8,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,259.9914853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans56c13,587$7,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,920.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards7c13,559$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.941,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Pelicans55c12,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards19c11,526$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pelicans56c11,451$6,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,038.2428649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Pelicans56c11,429$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,028.5714663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8a1…61d2backed Wizards44c11,364$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00050%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans55c11,234$6,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,011.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pelicans56c11,138$6,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.5759653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pelicans56c11,000$6,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,804.6435547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards45c10,780$4,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800.8136741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Pelicans56c10,628$5,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,676.2928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Wizards19c10,327$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.325129.4%15 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Pelicans56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4006454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Pelicans63c9,796$6,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.0616657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards0c9,456$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.418820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Pelicans57c8,772$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.9320352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pelicans55c8,599$4,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,873.0230947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b0…df60backed Pelicans56c8,045$4,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,518.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Pelicans56c7,777$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.8724554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans56c7,670$4,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards29c7,384$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pelicans54c7,138$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.591,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Wizards44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Wizards45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15021450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Pelicans56c7,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08017861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Wizards45c6,174$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80011753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6402,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Wizards18c6,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Wizards5c5,547$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.791034.9%5 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards46c5,480$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.11,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans56c5,460$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c90…1694backed Pelicans55c5,347$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Wizards44c5,291$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32824051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Pelicans57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.1615855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b3…9c50backed Wizards44c5,060$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Wizards44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Wizards44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Wizards38c4,950$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87529037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3848…8f61backed Wizards44c4,938$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Pelicans61c4,880$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.2938046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2274…15b9backed Wizards43c4,737$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be3…59fcbacked Pelicans56c4,686$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4a9…6ad8backed Pelicans55c4,648$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Wizards44c4,582$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.7626247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards43c4,577$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.261,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Pelicans57c4,502$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.754862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Pelicans56c4,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98019958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Pelicans54c4,398$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.0240350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Pelicans54c4,338$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.5952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards44c4,338$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90944648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Pelicans56c4,337$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Wizards45c4,300$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93514055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Pelicans53c4,300$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02114945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Pelicans61c4,239$2,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.985352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Wizards46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84026751.7%138 W · 129 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Pelicans74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04011149.5%55 W · 56 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pelicans66c3,863$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.9985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Pelicans56c3,676$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.6513563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Wizards42c3,536$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Pelicans60c3,346$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.7512048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Pelicans65c3,192$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.9627865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.