NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1da0e65948728dcf008558bf1575eb2a2a90648c551e9f33f2f96024d0e748d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Wizards | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.94 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 48c | 41,182$19,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,768.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 52c | 36,976$19,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,748.43 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…080ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 33,333$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,333.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 22,163$11,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,659.86 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Pelicans | 50c | 15,006$7,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,555.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Pelicans | 51c | 14,324$7,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,018.82 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 48c | 10,482$5,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.36 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…280abacked Wizards | 49c | 10,010$4,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc79d…ca80backed Pelicans | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Wizards | 50c | 9,788$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 48c | 8,992$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Wizards | 51c | 8,808$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 48c | 6,065$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…2668backed Pelicans | 48c | 5,997$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,537$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.54 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 42c | 5,524$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 49c | 5,247$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.64 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 5,199$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.62 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans | 52c | 3,818$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.62 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Pelicans | 49c | 3,266$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe540…df7dbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,115$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…6bd2backed Wizards | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,758$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.84 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,488$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Wizards | 51c | 2,102$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.29 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Wizards | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wizards | 47c | 1,568$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.11 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,208$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.64 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,024$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.03 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Pelicans | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Wizards | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 51c | 928.58$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.26 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Wizards | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Wizards | 49c | 693.88$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Wizards | 28c | 599.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Wizards | 43c | 553.86$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wizards | 48c | 500$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.14 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Wizards | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Pelicans | 51c | 462.75$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Wizards | 48c | 418$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wizards | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Wizards | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Wizards | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 304.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 6c | 302.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Wizards | 47c | 291.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Pelicans | 49c | 258$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Wizards | 51c | 257.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Pelicans | 52c | 242.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Wizards | 48c | 238.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Wizards | 48c | 233.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Wizards | 49c | 210.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…4516backed Wizards | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pelicans | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Pelicans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 51c | 187.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…d9f6backed Wizards | 50c | 177.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Wizards | 52c | 176.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Pelicans | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pelicans | 53c | 165$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Pelicans | 49c | 161.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 48c | 157$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Pelicans | 49c | 155.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans | 50c | 130.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wizards | 38c | 129.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Pelicans | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wizards | 30c | 108.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 48c | 104.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Wizards | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Wizards | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 91.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pelicans | 53c | 80.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 49c | 80.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Wizards | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…61fcbacked Wizards | 30c | 70.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wizards | 48c | 70.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Wizards | 49c | 64.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…6012backed Wizards | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Wizards | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Wizards | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Wizards | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Wizards | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Pelicans | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…3fa1backed Wizards | 49c | 49.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Wizards | 47c | 46.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Wizards | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9276…081ebacked Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Pelicans | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Wizards | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Pelicans | 49c | 39.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Pelicans | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 57c | 37.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Pelicans | 48c | 37.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)this page
- Pelicans vs. WizardsPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.