TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca21…b07cbacked Under51c49,278$25,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,146.3222458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over49c18,972$9,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,296.2844740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over52c16,961$8,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,768.7229351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c14,103$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,020.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under52c7,762$4,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4940…05cbbacked Over48c7,500$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.1347856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c4,720$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.92,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…08aabacked Under67c4,327$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.875052%26 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c4,323$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.392,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under51c4,100$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.4512341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under51c4,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.9944337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over45c3,847$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.783,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2254050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c2,179$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.891,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over45c2,105$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.793,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.335072%36 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over52c1,784$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.8443453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c1,618$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.992,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0965339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under54c1,404$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.332,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c1,170$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.993,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c1,169$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.362,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c1,127$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.852,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49016657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c947.38$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.992,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over24c833$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9235326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Over51c779.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under49c676$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.762,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over49c674.32$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33062347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Over49c612.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.038339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c583.39$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under49c558$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.9444648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under56c483.05$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.651,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c460$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.240243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under75c399.19$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.871,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c350$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over38c343.55$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13023845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15072647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Over46c296.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.264348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca5…85edbacked Under51c290$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.12347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad44…db14backed Under52c287.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.365253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over25c244.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2731144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over35c221.45$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.088854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087544%33 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811436.8%42 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6813354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c181$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.982,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c156.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.535,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.533650.6%170 W · 166 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7820353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c146.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.972,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Under52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.221749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1415959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over33c127.72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7430616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over50c127.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4293849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under48c127.47$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.271,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c123.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Under52c111.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.534445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0437352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5217341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3311143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over35c98.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.811,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Under53c96.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2311642.2%49 W · 67 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x097c…2542backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under52c94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.128759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over51c88.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.086546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Under60c84.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0316261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1662349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1631754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26b9…9ab5backed Under49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over47c80.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over55c78.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3950347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4c…b7b8backed Under51c77.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9515054%81 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4756454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…d378backed Under53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.19850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under52c67.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90dd…c435backed Under62c66.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over49c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3434053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over49c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over25c65.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7363745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Under52c65.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.384050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over46c64.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.