TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes33c30,383$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,383.482263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No67c11,778$7,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,891.376346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes34c10,831$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,190.1196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c8,581$5,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.1298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c6,925$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.72,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c4,365$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.6968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No67c3,917$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.3940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No67c3,333$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.117444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No66c2,259$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes34c2,153$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.7134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No67c2,131$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.2433148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No66c1,475$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes32c1,319$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.754030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No36c1,204$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.636535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c1,028$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.7741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67012153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No67c1,000$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.3324953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes50c979.06$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No59c633.1$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.5149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed No53c568.85$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.98887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No36c517.08$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5622743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3357558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No46c496.72$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c399.34$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.441,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c388.19$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a9…701abacked No69c362$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…3909backed No69c343$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c18…5e7cbacked No69c337$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.53366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533a…6566backed No69c337$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.53650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc12…69d8backed No69c330$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fce…dcb4backed No69c327$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.63366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd8…ec8dbacked No69c323$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1809440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfe…cf7dbacked No69c297$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No24c281.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.022147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc881…6d1fbacked No68c232$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73ed…2574backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes65c195.04$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.92832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fea…9bdbbacked Yes35c185.71$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x406e…0d29backed No68c183$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes66c170.44$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.566132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No67c165$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…ed71backed No68c160$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…5c69backed No68c159$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.255726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No67c149$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.832080%16 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes63c138.43$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.117529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-76.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No65c121.02$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.148160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.291145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No42c111$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1315041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5726747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No66c94.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.331051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No68c79.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.835143.1%22 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+160.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No54c72.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3917058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked No53c69.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de6…2393backed Yes70c67.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes33c66.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6720741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228c…0fb0backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.53053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.613327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d5…6418backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b5…20fcbacked Yes32c60.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed No36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.849353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.146955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes76c52.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes77c52.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.137742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No68c50.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0123245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3432150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d4…651cbacked No35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No25c48.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4118125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb849…bce6backed Yes38c47.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c44.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9339354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1440…8cf8backed No56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc766…c4d9backed No69c43.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed No49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.46349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes51c38.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.753661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes79c34.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2230828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed No60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No62c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.697949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Yes35c31.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa230…f19fbacked No69c31.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No39c31.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2614351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa58c…3a5cbacked Yes35c31.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No68c30.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.714255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.118951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410957.8%63 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.