Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02f861ee46e22f354fc4b4ef999fa9834042e67d867ab630f9e33172937dfb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,156,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,140,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,156,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0720…1cdbbacked No | 63c | 2,300,583$1,450,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850,055.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 476,106$174,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174,428.69 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 43c | 318,684$135,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,847.11 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes | 36c | 312,500$112,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 38c | 200,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,499.99 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 37c | 142,809$52,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,995.4 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Yes | 36c | 136,993$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 100,832$36,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,339.7 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 99,499$38,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,480.51 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 36c | 94,000$33,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,840 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 39c | 76,132$29,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,989.05 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 39c | 47,607$18,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,601.33 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 36c | 39,416$14,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,317.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 38c | 37,516$14,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,130.94 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 37c | 26,691$9,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,984.96 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 37c | 25,193$9,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,372.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 23,179$8,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,974.1 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 21,342$12,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,121.44 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Yes | 37c | 18,900$6,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Yes | 36c | 18,376$6,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,678.3 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 58c | 17,872$10,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,506.59 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Yes | 38c | 16,300$6,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,194 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 38c | 15,065$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 37c | 13,760$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 40c | 13,458$5,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 36c | 12,960$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Yes | 36c | 10,961$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Yes | 37c | 10,720$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 9,802$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.63 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 36c | 9,655$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 37c | 7,685$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.3 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…b09bbacked No | 58c | 7,596$4,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 6,686$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.44 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 59c | 6,500$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 60c | 6,024$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.13 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 36c | 5,996$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 36c | 5,832$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.52 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Yes | 11c | 5,594$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 37c | 4,569$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 41c | 4,369$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 39c | 3,990$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.27 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 36c | 3,745$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.48 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.87 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 38c | 3,330$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.4 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 57c | 3,008$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 36c | 2,895$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.02 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,654$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 38c | 2,395$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.21 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 58c | 2,243$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 1,839$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.71 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 36c | 1,818$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 58c | 1,758$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.36 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 60c | 1,751$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.14 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes | 38c | 1,730$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 17c | 1,642$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.41 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…14f8backed No | 58c | 1,573$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 40c | 1,557$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.9 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 42c | 1,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,308$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.01 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 17c | 1,226$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.29 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 1,121$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.54 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed No | 57c | 1,071$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 37c | 1,021$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.08 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33df…337dbacked Yes | 41c | 999.91$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes | 37c | 978.56$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Yes | 39c | 972.37$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 37c | 952.45$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.47 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked Yes | 38c | 944.4$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 34c | 911.76$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 23c | 884.62$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…b423backed Yes | 34c | 882.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 872.16$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.98 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked No | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 772.08$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.11 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed No | 61c | 750$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 692.86$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 36c | 615.25$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…dd82backed Yes | 7c | 600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 16c | 598.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 37c | 590.38$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 36c | 581$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 62c | 566$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…62e6backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.