TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$432,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$438,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0720…1cdbbacked Yes27c129,434$35,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,542.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes30c46,759$13,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,897.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed No73c37,400$27,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0982100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+82.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked No74c36,575$27,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,509.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c33,800$24,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,158.3368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c32,918$23,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,248.252,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes26c20,557$5,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,344.787938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed No72c20,421$14,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,717.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No73c10,730$7,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.126346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c9,576$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.7798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No72c9,016$6,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.482475%18 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes16c8,425$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.0534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No71c7,999$5,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.756347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c7,719$5,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.7396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes26c7,641$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9991850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c7,190$5,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.2840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Yes29c6,897$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e19…7d36backed No72c6,497$4,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes28c5,357$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c4,404$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.631,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No72c3,333$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.247444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c3,050$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c2,332$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.5448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56026040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No72c1,944$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.329652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes27c1,928$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.5610940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c1,887$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.3612153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No70c1,543$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.96132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca3…cb95backed Yes26c1,540$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8933357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c1,236$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c912.3$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No70c900$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes15c886.84$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c865.84$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No68c690$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.383661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+54.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes27c648.15$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes8c645.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes26c601.39$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.391850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c548$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes26c516.85$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.222941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No74c500$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.524953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c14…ffa5backed Yes28c497.74$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No74c466$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1622348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.412552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11216251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes27c370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.98463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No72c352$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.125259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No70c349.55$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.586535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes14c307.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes26c304.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…c25bbacked Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c292.85$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0746047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c270$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.225556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Yes19c263.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c230$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.816851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes25c225.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.35911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-82.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No74c225$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.513550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c8…547fbacked Yes23c220$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes29c216.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.761850%9 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x812d…8f72backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes29c198.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.65028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes29c197$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.549353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes14c194.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2514347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked Yes27c189.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.241844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No74c180$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.811655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No74c180$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.812253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked No74c176.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes20c150.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.987742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c147.95$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8822743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No72c139.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.154860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9915259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.146960.9%42 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes27c132.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Yes18c130$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+71.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea72…d821backed No72c128.33$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes52c123$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4822373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.212754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.