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La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$612,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$714,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes65c80,015$51,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,371.545058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c79,895$37,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,455.3130634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No52c44,992$23,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,596.054223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1afc…d238backed Yes47c42,426$19,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,485.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c30,982$8,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,680.064,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No54c24,981$13,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,489.713847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No52c22,182$11,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,638.789729.9%29 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No53c21,400$11,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,341.962339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ae…a7edbacked No53c20,895$11,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,074.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…7c92backed No53c19,467$10,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,317.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No54c18,323$9,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,813.479743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No52c10,637$5,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,531.227455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No48c10,404$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,990.031,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes49c10,102$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,112.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes46c9,616$4,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.9726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe161…a10bbacked No1c7,399$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.53130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No54c7,288$3,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90311539.1%45 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c7,207$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.782,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No53c6,532$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,462.0912648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No53c5,531$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.566331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed No1c5,475$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.875119.6%10 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No54c5,470$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.778334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes46c5,044$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.462259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9913046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No53c4,825$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.99358.1%54 W · 39 L+9.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No53c4,800$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c4,600$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.964822.9%11 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes48c4,520$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.42245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No52c4,014$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.351338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Yes46c4,002$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No2c3,987$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.676936.2%25 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes47c3,878$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b90…b995backed Yes46c3,700$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes46c2,967$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.925034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.731275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No54c2,687$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45111656%65 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No21c2,616$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.163438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No53c2,608$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.552445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes49c2,449$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.994465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No42c2,280$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.3769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2007648.7%37 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No53c2,167$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.3621957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No2c2,163$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.754337.2%16 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No54c2,066$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.863548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked No54c2,064$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No53c2,038$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.932035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9914647.9%70 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes47c1,936$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.1720148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No52c1,881$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.123432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed No54c1,851$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.45646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No53c1,669$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.682951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No53c1,590$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.5529545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No53c1,502$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.566842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No53c1,280$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes46c1,237$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.591,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No53c1,194$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.97353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed No53c1,160$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.640%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No44c1,139$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.9115443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No53c1,130$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.97534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed No55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.962955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.871963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.835942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No52c1,046$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5445550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes48c1,044$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.753551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x135a…5315backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes47c1,010$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.341952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52012945%58 W · 71 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5308142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5406640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No53c999.96$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.987851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c995.56$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.773,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No25c967.94$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2961048%293 W · 317 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes47c946.11$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.447431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes46c927.71$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.713342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes45c880.47$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.262347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked No2c870.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes48c859.52$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes75c838$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.863339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes47c819.39$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.088140.7%33 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fef…3589backed Yes72c800$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes74c760.71$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0219762.4%123 W · 74 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No54c752.59$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.958940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No53c707.55$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3753040%12 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes46c699.95$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.979751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes66c693.65$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9352152%271 W · 250 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No54c663$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.0223250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Yes48c660.26$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.072774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes47c643.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.123727%10 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Yes48c640.06$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.32857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed No54c621.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No53c565.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.985457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.