TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,444 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac6c…be82backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes34c7,819$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.9758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61d5…b767backed Yes48c7,062$3,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c6,758$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.61,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No74c4,999$3,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.7410845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c2,579$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.7659741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6506225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c2,123$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.3763346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No74c1,878$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.161478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No74c1,802$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5616144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes10c1,758$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes57c1,755$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.168971.9%64 W · 25 L+12.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc09…9024backed No73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes26c1,100$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2866141%25 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes25c844$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21120644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes26c600.64$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8213931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Yes25c480$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No75c466.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1e…e547backed Yes32c425$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041910.5%2 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No74c384.61$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes15c335.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.96817.6%12 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes23c303.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.139743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No53c285.11$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13434342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Yes47c282.98$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes37c251.52$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9112348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No74c236.55$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73ed…2574backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No61c195.95$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6321460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No72c170$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.613352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c166.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.041,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No72c149.97$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9914247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked No75c149.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.494143.9%18 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes12c123.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1323637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes27c119.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.372642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No74c108.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.111392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No74c107.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.456867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2737544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes25c90.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6929136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e22…6f48backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0138043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a9…e0c9backed Yes17c87.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb1…d3c7backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes26c82.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.55534.5%19 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No68c76.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3720042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No80c76.23$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.566943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204528.9%13 W · 32 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+78.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No74c72.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.265152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.613853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d4…d0eabacked Yes35c67.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d96…0be4backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Yes47c62.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.383164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+80%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No72c59.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.813248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd215…7471backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1311070%77 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2511153.2%59 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2513759.1%81 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No74c49.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No75c49.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.339850%49 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes29c47.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7743427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No73c44.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.088359%49 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb15…cbdabacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No79c40.32$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.444852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145442.6%23 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a67…abdabacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No73c37.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No78c35.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8322356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.154560%27 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b75…5328backed Yes47c33.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes37c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.471526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c27.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes44c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.462040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No74c25.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.758868.2%60 W · 28 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf277…9d9dbacked No66c22.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.771136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No74c21.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5917045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No54c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.662532%8 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No73c20.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4513552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked No74c18.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.883842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No73c18.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.