TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d96…0be4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.07
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$47.56
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$42.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$75.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.8%+$21.52
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$53
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$79.41
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$67.06
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$44.76
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Valorant: All Gamers vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$2.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.