TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Misa Esportsof Karmine Corp Blue, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Karmine Corp Blue39c14,131$5,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,511.2831328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Misa Esports60c9,386$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.0217163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Misa Esports61c7,990$4,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.266437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Karmine Corp Blue1c5,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.553775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Karmine Corp Blue39c4,698$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.421,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Misa Esports60c4,384$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.372050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Misa Esports58c3,568$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.61,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Misa Esports61c3,361$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.272,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp Blue6c2,977$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.591,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp Blue40c2,272$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.791,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Karmine Corp Blue40c2,228$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.0859248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Karmine Corp Blue1c2,103$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.031,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Karmine Corp Blue41c1,986$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.4348440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Karmine Corp Blue42c1,893$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.164443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Karmine Corp Blue42c1,737$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.6985746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Misa Esports61c1,555$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.3251160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Misa Esports60c1,439$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57550848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Karmine Corp Blue40c1,427$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.5543442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Karmine Corp Blue24c1,390$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.1473237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Karmine Corp Blue35c1,224$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.3695041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Misa Esports62c1,176$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7270162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Karmine Corp Blue42c1,168$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.142,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed Karmine Corp Blue42c1,165$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.38827.3%24 W · 64 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Misa Esports61c1,143$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.621,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Misa Esports61c1,115$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.176953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Misa Esports58c1,093$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.971,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Karmine Corp Blue6c1,046$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3944042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Misa Esports58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42049549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Misa Esports62c997.59$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.061,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Karmine Corp Blue40c963.92$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.341,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Misa Esports59c904.4$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.82,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Karmine Corp Blue41c838.4$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.091,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports76c827.42$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.411,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Karmine Corp Blue8c755.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.750646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2148…ae1dbacked Karmine Corp Blue40c695.08$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.91030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karmine Corp Blue8c681.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.872,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Karmine Corp Blue16c668.91$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.931,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Misa Esports59c632.25$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2215148.3%73 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8c…f2cebacked Karmine Corp Blue39c626.26$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.241637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Karmine Corp Blue37c604.2$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2639246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Karmine Corp Blue38c577.67$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3286758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Misa Esports62c488.6$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6779653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd5…b74abacked Karmine Corp Blue40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Karmine Corp Blue40c477.64$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.061225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Karmine Corp Blue41c469.35$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9327142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Karmine Corp Blue4c447.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.921,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked Karmine Corp Blue41c407.01$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.889637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d4c…935ebacked Karmine Corp Blue6c401.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0813433.6%45 W · 89 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Karmine Corp Blue43c399.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Karmine Corp Blue13c371.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.731,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Karmine Corp Blue34c343.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3569539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Karmine Corp Blue39c340.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3912934.9%45 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Misa Esports62c312.92$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1168557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Misa Esports58c301.88$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7929952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Misa Esports63c293.34$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.541,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Karmine Corp Blue40c281.97$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7915141.7%63 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Karmine Corp Blue41c279.73$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6918829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Karmine Corp Blue40c254.55$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.919042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Karmine Corp Blue4c254.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.187435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Karmine Corp Blue38c233.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5864451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Karmine Corp Blue9c216.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9199747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Karmine Corp Blue40c215.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.371,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Misa Esports59c214.93$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.041,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Misa Esports65c209.19$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2240959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Karmine Corp Blue12c161.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9423341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Misa Esports61c159.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0351247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Misa Esports62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8948042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Karmine Corp Blue32c151.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.681,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Karmine Corp Blue19c148.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.161,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Karmine Corp Blue28c128.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.841,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Karmine Corp Blue37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.442852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Karmine Corp Blue42c115.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2532650.3%164 W · 162 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Misa Esports62c109.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4643947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp Blue38c105.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.052,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Misa Esports58c103.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.332857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Misa Esports60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4079345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d07…8b9ebacked Karmine Corp Blue39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3944047.5%209 W · 231 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Karmine Corp Blue38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3876142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Misa Esports60c99.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4041544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Misa Esports63c98.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7380150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69f0…2dc9backed Misa Esports62c97.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.139645.8%44 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Karmine Corp Blue38c96.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5948652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d97…cab6backed Karmine Corp Blue42c91.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61825%2 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-65.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7792…d10dbacked Misa Esports61c87.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0819253.6%103 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp Blue14c85.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.332,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Misa Esports62c77.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2530545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Misa Esports59c67.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5126049.2%128 W · 132 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Misa Esports63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5313…a4a8backed Misa Esports61c57.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.181190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick58cpaid+55.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed Misa Esports63c47.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7364749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Karmine Corp Blue29c47.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6444129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Misa Esports78c47.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4749253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Misa Esports61c46.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3218640.9%76 W · 110 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5349…a09dbacked Misa Esports62c43.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3813161.1%80 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26c7…264fbacked Misa Esports61c40.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6128040%112 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Karmine Corp Blue49c39.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3115359.5%91 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb01…0442backed Misa Esports75c39.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Karmine Corp Blue38c38.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4475142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Misa Esports62c37.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.351,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Misa Esports62c35.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3713444.8%60 W · 74 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.