Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec304c48e0970bf9a1423b391b8e5334dc97629cbef31e03ce560cca71a0ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Karmine Corp Blue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Misa Esports | 40c | 6,997$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.3 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 3,270$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.33 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 1,294$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.41 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 990.96$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 29c | 905.89$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.98 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp Blue | 67c | 776.99$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.58 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa979…abc6backed Misa Esports | 33c | 578.61$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 485.18$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.25 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 396.91$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…f2ffbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 302.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Misa Esports | 76c | 223.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 202.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Misa Esports | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 196.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Misa Esports | 36c | 151.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Misa Esports | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 54.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Karmine Corp Blue | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 65c | 21.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.