Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea2835b0156412f31643d7943b605cd43f8191c3a53dc47f21505101138f6d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under | 57c | 13,655$7,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.35 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 43c | 2,745$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.69 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 43c | 2,448$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.77 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 45c | 1,734$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.13 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Over | 43c | 1,709$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 43c | 1,667$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.79 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 43c | 1,500$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.75 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Over | 43c | 1,308$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 45c | 1,298$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.41 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 55c | 1,225$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.06 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 1,039$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.04 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Over | 43c | 817.57$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…ae1dbacked Over | 44c | 800.68$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 741.08$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.08 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 44c | 669.14$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…5662backed Over | 43c | 622.94$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…773abacked Over | 43c | 434.61$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 429.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5313…a4a8backed Under | 59c | 347.27$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 58cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Under | 59c | 333.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 56c | 292.58$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Under | 56c | 256.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Over | 43c | 231.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 43c | 205.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Under | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 43c | 193.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked Under | 59c | 181.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c1…b6f3backed Over | 44c | 131.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…3199backed Over | 43c | 129.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 42c | 126.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0d…c27bbacked Under | 59c | 76.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…6a2dbacked Over | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 31c | 64.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 48c | 58.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…6490backed Under | 65c | 44.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 58c | 41.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Over | 43c | 38.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Under | 58c | 32.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 49c | 32.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 42c | 28.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked Over | 43c | 28.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Over | 43c | 28.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Under | 56c | 22.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.