TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,560 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed No42c4,641$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.765947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes60c4,228$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c4,227$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.983,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes62c4,124$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.8811242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7204037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No38c3,988$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.862755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c3,151$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.9584850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No38c2,630$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.5920132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c2,547$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.92,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No40c1,784$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.5138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0736…4f30backed Yes45c1,508$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes61c1,487$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes47c1,071$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes43c999.99$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4252733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No42c815.14$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7825157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4963450%17 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes48c622.29$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.72920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No38c599.94$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.961952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes59c528.62$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31211449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed No42c487$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.461060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes59c473.48$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.791,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Yes60c464.55$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes59c444.41$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes46c429.15$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.52646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes47c414.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.841435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes46c413.04$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes62c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes51c394.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes47c330$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.16046.7%28 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfebb…09fcbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes4c325$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410963.3%69 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes62c322$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6437926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No38c299.95$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.979054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes58c289.35$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6188048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No44c279.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4244952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes47c255.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes59c250.24$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.649354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No53c232.98$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No38c216.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.534540%18 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes46c205.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3733522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes59c201.75$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0320056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8212345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No41c199.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9918444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefc8…7309backed Yes57c199.06$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.12666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No65c198.89$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.73956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Yes42c198$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.98550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Yes24c185.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba34…9fd1backed Yes59c185.54$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c181.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1436136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No43c180.17$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.763633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Yes60c171.66$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes59c169.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28ba…ab32backed No41c169$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed No41c166.87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.463063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes60c166.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ab…582cbacked No41c166$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc2d…8668backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56a…a2eabacked No41c160.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.23256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0299…c66cbacked No41c157$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b3b…4309backed No41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eff…903dbacked No41c147$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No50c134.87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6721835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes60c134.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Yes47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes41c127.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes59c127$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9331842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c118.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.132,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No41c117.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.755545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No37c107.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9818049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No40c106.55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d96…0be4backed Yes62c106.24$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes56c105.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8510761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628747.1%41 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.955552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x810c…3381backed Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4849…2e69backed Yes62c96.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes62c94.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.844269%29 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No55c90.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.98261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08ea…0751backed Yes59c85.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x302c…108abacked Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes49c82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.182433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes59c80.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.693354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf663…e31cbacked Yes59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc258…34fbbacked Yes59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes59c74.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.082748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.