TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89f9…eb5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Cricket, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.06
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.35
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.92
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.18
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+173.3%+$82.43
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.28
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.24
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.28
Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Wales win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.06
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.