La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb01dd8bd97fb3d9bb87dfa582d4f3ddba0b757b6266d756d337257f330f7be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,002 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 26c | 6,981$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 2,106$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.06 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 1,826$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.66 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 59c | 1,212$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.41 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 41c | 1,072$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.96 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 824.73$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 42c | 693.58$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.1 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 38c | 547.36$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Yes | 21c | 289.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 215.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 139.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 134.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 116.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 14c | 111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 70.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 39c | 64.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 58.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 34c | 58.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 53.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 70c | 50.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 61c | 50.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No | 61c | 40.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 35.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 32.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 58c | 19.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.