La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc20fb50c65e3bceb7bbdcc7b8afb2d17c58d506670590136494d180b92f854c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,309 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 32c | 11,017$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.13 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 71c | 4,180$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.75 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,421$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 1,020$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 68c | 1,015$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.74 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 869$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 821$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.72 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 375$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 227.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 48c | 215$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 207.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 186.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 68c | 171.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 32c | 148.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 31c | 125.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 124.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 71.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 21c | 62.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 68c | 56.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 68c | 54.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 34c | 43.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 50c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 68c | 32.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 30.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 26.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 68c | 22.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.