TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,519 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes53c53,103$28,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,144.5415647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes49c51,921$25,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,377.1747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No46c20,648$9,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,126.443351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes53c15,859$8,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,358.5141339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c15,781$8,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,567.963,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c15,351$7,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,836.761,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes51c14,629$7,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,447.794932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No47c13,300$6,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0492166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c13,032$6,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,007.4297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes54c11,086$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No47c10,571$4,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,583.012934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c8,795$4,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,141.8977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc540…f7e5backed No47c8,511$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No48c8,140$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.5425149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No47c7,600$3,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0282181%17 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes49c7,394$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,610.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No48c4,626$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.441080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c4,094$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.387044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No47c4,048$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0804035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2003056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe501…5c4fbacked No47c3,802$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7505054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked No48c3,494$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No49c2,838$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.742941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No47c2,741$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.871233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2505251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No44c2,481$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.2913347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c2,123$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.4123643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes46c1,773$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.365451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75019657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed No48c1,420$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.491729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes50c1,349$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.749151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No47c877.77$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.884456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c843.94$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9721545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No78c764.36$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.362365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes43c762$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No45c732$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No51c697.82$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.935156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No47c696.08$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.926155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes49c692.31$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No49c658.25$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.8913942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No45c634.28$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.173655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No51c550.56$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2337138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c542.79$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.931,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed No50c541.86$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.933033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Yes56c540$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No58c502.87$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8326346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes54c482.15$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c473.13$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes29c445.47$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.111,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.444751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.444641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes52c419.45$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No51c410.2$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20155750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No49c387.72$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked No51c386$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.851450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ae…0504backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No44c373$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c372.58$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No54c343.7$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.111266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes49c334.06$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.694459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No47c330.14$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1624843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.997668.4%52 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes30c290$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.331834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes27c284$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.919347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c281.3$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes26c263.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No47c243.38$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0320535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Yes52c236.62$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes42c228.42$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed No46c216.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eca…969abacked Yes52c212$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2450%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes48c208.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.951225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes52c197.75$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.833551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0324…fdbcbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c191$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9819073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Yes56c178.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.