South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89359971fc751203be9d5ddcd69ca173340f6b56d80d4a68de6be176f4873c75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 75c | 8,990$6,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.57 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 23c | 5,615$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.27 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 3,046$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 23c | 2,682$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.85 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 25c | 2,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 78c | 2,124$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.51 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 1,251$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 22c | 1,145$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 25c | 1,020$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 25c | 1,000$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 925$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.75 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 78c | 774$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.03 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 24c | 360.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 22c | 248.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 78c | 141.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 25c | 87.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 77c | 85.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd683…0e40backed Yes | 78c | 75.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 78c | 72.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 25c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 78c | 53.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 25c | 46.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…340bbacked Yes | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 79c | 30.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…45febacked Yes | 78c | 29.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 78c | 28.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…8803backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 74c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…4dabbacked Yes | 75c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc170…11dcbacked Yes | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.