TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,699 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8790…010bbacked Yes50c20,660$10,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,337.9321251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No47c9,871$4,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,636.647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c3,568$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.085,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes46c2,781$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.1530841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes5c1,139$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.794429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No20c874.8$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9412827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No37c600.83$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.313,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.241735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No40c588.88$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0533745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes65c553.85$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+82.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes42c547.85$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No52c533.76$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.571,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes57c473.28$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No12c472.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.013,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes54c352.27$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.272268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4619144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…189abacked Yes57c287.76$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.431963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No37c278.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes23c250.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.321435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dcf…a152backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c234.58$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.081,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes49c226.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.539638.5%37 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Yes45c198.18$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No36c197.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6337851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes64c160.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7340242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No39c158.66$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.561,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde42…e01bbacked Yes45c134.93$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No44c114.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.528231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7c…4a95backed No14c112.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No41c109$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6923542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes42c102.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes26c101.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.177334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes49c100.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.513739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Yes60c100.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.244959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed No41c99.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.753751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No37c86.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.176842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes60c86.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0718543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No39c83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.378763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa823…3327backed Yes63c82.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.385040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9711140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.659256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No46c71.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.721,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c95…3309backed Yes46c70.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfde…4006backed Yes34c70$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+99.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No37c69.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.562,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…fe66backed Yes49c67.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No40c60.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.124353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes48c60.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4710550.5%53 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes30c59.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8318145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Yes46c55.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.043154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba18…e136backed Yes37c53.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes57c51.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.839752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3229…4299backed Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No68c50.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0899259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1617542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes78c48.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7811664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2544…0f11backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No40c47.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8914254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes32c46.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.845944.1%26 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8205…5067backed Yes45c46.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No40c44.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.921,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4416656%93 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes30c44.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.874944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No40c42.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1427053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No41c42.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.384757.4%27 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes72c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.763154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.186141%25 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes45c40.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes44c38.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5425147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No43c37.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2821266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cfc…0a65backed Yes60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No40c34.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6910157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf315…1939backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No37c32.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.510146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes63c28.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.715052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes58c27.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No43c26.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.291,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No52c25.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2581740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…f078backed Yes60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+62.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes54c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6411262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes59c20.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.34560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed No57c20.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.424963.3%31 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Yes62c19.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cca…7cb3backed Yes64c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes60c17.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.133735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked No61c16.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.264566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7584…03d1backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.