South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbfbe4291c9b933dc0f9757a89dbb7f2bbdfddfc8097ae20a11175d7d1764beb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 3,741$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 47c | 2,327$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.13 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 1,972$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.56 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 1,769$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.09 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 41c | 1,630$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.36 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 17c | 1,586$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.05 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 1,554$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.85 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 77c | 1,143$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.97 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,136$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.94 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 53c | 1,084$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.33 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 45c | 1,035$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.22 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 875$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.77 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 65c | 753.08$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 53c | 540.91$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 537.61$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 485.86$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…f5e2backed No | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 429.19$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 25c | 426.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 406.78$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 23c | 380$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057c…3d3fbacked Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Yes | 58c | 336.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 14c | 311.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked No | 73c | 304.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 50c | 302.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 54c | 283.9$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.31 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 74c | 270.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 57c | 270$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 37c | 267.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 259.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 36c | 217.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed No | 46c | 210.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 26c | 209.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 56c | 206.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 206.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 194.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…2c8ebacked Yes | 28c | 191.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…d652backed Yes | 26c | 191.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 27c | 189.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 62c | 188.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 72c | 187.38$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Yes | 53c | 183.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 180.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 22c | 177.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6f…3c9abacked Yes | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…3dc8backed Yes | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 156.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 8c | 148.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 30c | 147.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 56c | 145.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 141.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 139.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Yes | 14c | 137.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 24c | 134.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 116.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 17c | 108.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 53c | 107.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Yes | 59c | 107.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 16c | 106.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f7…3698backed Yes | 30c | 105.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 90.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 53c | 90.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 19c | 87.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 53c | 86.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked No | 46c | 83.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7c…c1efbacked Yes | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…baefbacked Yes | 58c | 79.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 57c | 79.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 19c | 78.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…95a3backed Yes | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 47c | 71.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…16fcbacked Yes | 59c | 66.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 58c | 64.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…a7fcbacked Yes | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 57c | 49.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 57c | 49.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 48.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379b…76ddbacked Yes | 53c | 45.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 60c | 44.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 27c | 43.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…7720backed Yes | 26c | 40.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed No | 48c | 40.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes | 56c | 40.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…0056backed Yes | 27c | 38.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed7…e114backed Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 69c | 38.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 37.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…2052backed Yes | 53c | 37.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.