South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dd5798c59ca77aaf30aee523ec17726337d7f6bed615f0293fd3e8827bc524d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,253$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.14 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 65c | 2,026$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.87 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 13c | 1,963$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.43 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 23c | 1,732$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.64 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 22c | 1,281$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.93 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 1,265$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.57 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 1,082$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 924.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.19 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 12c | 850.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 55c | 776.28$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 9c | 766.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 2c | 505.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 35c | 436.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.94 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 11c | 419.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 11c | 361.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 355.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 31c | 305.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.22 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 303.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 45c | 303.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 292.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.16 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 11c | 267.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 203.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 27c | 192.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 21c | 185.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 146.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 10c | 139.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 35c | 130.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 129.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed Yes | 24c | 120.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…fc9dbacked Yes | 19c | 115.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 10c | 114.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 72c | 107.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed No | 19c | 101.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 56c | 98.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 16c | 94.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 25c | 94.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 24c | 90.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab1…40b9backed Yes | 25c | 79.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +297.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…1583backed No | 25c | 71.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 72c | 70.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 21c | 69.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 24c | 60.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Yes | 23c | 58.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 58.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…91b5backed Yes | 42c | 53.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 57c | 46.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 57c | 42.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 78c | 35.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 43c | 28.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 28.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Yes | 54c | 25.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b4…06fcbacked Yes | 46c | 24.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 19.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 70c | 19.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked No | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed No | 80c | 18.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 16.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked No | 77c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.