TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed30…1583

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Maximus Jonesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$8.83
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broombacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+304%+$44.71
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$18.27
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.85
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Leandro Riedibacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+528.9%+$161.07
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Tallahassee: Oliver Crawford vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$14.28
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.82
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$53.73
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.59
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$64.69
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.9
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.68
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$9.97
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$18.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+502.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+502.5%+$167.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.