Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf3f2e1c8509d3d85ee6eb8896573438e2a055186c61e7a5531c74f2f45fad09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 4,232$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.76 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 25c | 3,968$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.06 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…1583backed Yes | 1c | 2,719$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 1,936$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.28 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…0acebacked No | 79c | 1,930$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,873$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.86 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 1,277$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.42 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 1,085$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.04 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 811.78$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 542.54$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 542.54$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 467.05$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 79c | 466.65$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 28c | 419.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 77c | 412.3$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 77c | 412.17$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 77c | 412.17$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 78c | 385.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 28c | 369.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 79c | 336.28$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 77c | 324.05$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 78c | 320.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 249.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 249.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 208.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 132.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 77c | 129.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 77c | 129.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 78c | 128.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 123$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 27c | 110.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 80c | 96.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 79c | 84.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 79c | 79.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 73c | 75.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 73c | 75.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 74c | 67.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…265dbacked Yes | 21c | 64.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 79c | 63.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 77c | 62.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 76c | 60.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 72c | 49.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 80c | 46.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 72c | 42.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 78c | 37.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 77c | 35.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed No | 78c | 28.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 77c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…f0f4backed No | 79c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…265bbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…c3bebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.