TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9772…4867backed Yes75c9,700$7,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4254100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes47c8,408$3,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,490.414658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No28c7,058$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.591,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c6,884$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.345,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No25c6,382$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.2496846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes45c5,677$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c2,369$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.251,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No29c2,059$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.1340156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No37c1,248$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.991,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Yes46c1,134$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c1,044$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.441,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55093446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No33c853.03$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.3722656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No31c790.85$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.077356.2%41 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No31c776.65$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0819055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No4c750$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.251,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No15c732.61$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.295226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No30c715.57$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2539058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No30c715.57$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.256847.1%32 W · 36 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No32c698.35$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6914557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked Yes76c684$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.16366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No10c642.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.883823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No27c639.04$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2411654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes71c634.28$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7549044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No27c628.63$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8610160.4%61 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No27c621.75$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.234558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No28c528.94$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4716356.4%92 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes53c510$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.720138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No27c491.18$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.534656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes75c443.21$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c438.26$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.851,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No35c396.92$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2715358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17123347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17121941.6%91 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes76c271.44$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.051080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No29c253.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.359859.2%58 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No30c244.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.17466.2%49 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No31c241.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0347860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No26c239.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3742625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes64c210.36$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9484347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407866.7%52 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Yes49c196.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes48c195$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4413949.6%69 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Yes49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.23158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No52c180$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.618446.2%85 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c170.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6438849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No29c140.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5916759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed No29c138.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.44551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9e…98e1backed Yes45c131.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No19c129.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.635350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No49c123.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.428253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Yes46c106.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+65.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes54c103.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.752927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No50c100.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5623755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3410344.7%46 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No54c70.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.114058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed No30c68.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Yes78c68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.012231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48864.8%57 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes48c59.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1273850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes76c57.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8911059.1%65 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes46c54.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.613063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes45c51.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.154643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes53c47.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.227146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes46c46.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No25c44.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes56c44.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.437562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x669d…ec4cbacked Yes49c42.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes45c39.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9739649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd42…9588backed Yes53c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.622050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Yes54c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.541127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick14cpaid-41.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No53c37.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.829444.7%42 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No48c32.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.819552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…f247backed Yes46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No55c32.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No49c30.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1124162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.216746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+53.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Yes51c29.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No54c27.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9910653.8%57 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked No55c27.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes57c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6177056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed No55c25.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.645064%32 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yes46c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed No48c24.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.732657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes76c24.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.845464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes76c24.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.843375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes76c24.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.845373.6%39 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.