Asian League · resolved market
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded01fcdbe13ca6e6b526ea6f801b729827625265869f58a0d5180dcbdd3df3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad8f…e299backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 12,688$8,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 25c | 12,274$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Yes | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 5,121$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.21 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…3c26backed Yes | 53c | 3,665$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,099$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…6addbacked Yes | 49c | 1,930$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 1,847$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…99eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,735$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 1,484$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.16 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 1,444$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.14 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 46c | 1,330$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 3c | 1,233$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 1,218$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.91 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 55c | 1,149$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.1 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 1,071$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.36 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 959.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Yes | 49c | 846.94$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 50c | 709.8$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 703.24$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.87 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 44c | 681.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Yes | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 21c | 535$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Yes | 57c | 530.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 68c | 478.96$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 45c | 421.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.29 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 22c | 402.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 51c | 392.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 350.36$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.89 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 52c | 312.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 262.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 50c | 214.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Yes | 56c | 184.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 51c | 183.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 38c | 181$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 56c | 174.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 13c | 155.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 56c | 155$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 12cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 44c | 147.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 35c | 140.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 138.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…1583backed Yes | 10c | 128.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 48c | 121.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 49c | 117.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 45c | 108$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 45c | 91.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 45c | 87.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…6dd9backed No | 52c | 79.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 46c | 69.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…5d7abacked Yes | 49c | 61.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…a386backed No | 52c | 48.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…9c65backed Yes | 49c | 46.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 50c | 46.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39cd…1889backed Yes | 50c | 44.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 57c | 44.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…31e6backed Yes | 57c | 41.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…47f7backed Yes | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…955abacked Yes | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 44c | 36.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d1…b169backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 57c | 35.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 58c | 33.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…cc14backed Yes | 49c | 30.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…4248backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6d…6780backed Yes | 49c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 44c | 29.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9054…c40abacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…81e3backed No | 52c | 27.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…42d1backed Yes | 51c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…4a90backed No | 52c | 25.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed Yes | 51c | 24.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.